#BTC☀️

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📉 Current trend: Short-term Bearish

🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

EMA(7): 103,158 USDT

EMA(25): 104,716 USDT

EMA(99): 99,211 USDT

The current price (100,034 USDT) is below the short and medium-term EMAs (7 and 25), indicating bearish pressure. It is only slightly above the EMA(99), which acts as the last support.

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🔻 Key indicators

✅ RSI(6): 18.94 (Extremely oversold)

The RSI at this level indicates a possible short-term technical rebound opportunity, as it is well below 30, but does not guarantee a sustained rise.

✅ MACD: Negative

The MACD (-802.41) and its signal (DEA: 223.84) show a clear negative divergence, suggesting that selling pressure continues to dominate.

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📊 Volume

The 24h volume is high (29,518 BTC), suggesting strong market interest, though not necessarily bullish. If the volume is accompanied by red candles, it confirms the weakness.

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🧠 Technical conclusion:

Aspect Signal

EMA Trend Bearish

RSI Possible rebound

MACD Negative

Volume High, but without clear reversal

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🔮 Will it go up or down?

Short-term probability (1-3 days):

📉 Higher probability of continuing to decline or consolidating sideways in the 99,000 - 98,000 USDT range, unless there is a brief technical rebound due to the very low RSI.

Key level to watch:

If it loses 99,211 (EMA99): risk of falling to 94,700 or even 88,500 USDT.

If it recovers 104,000: could resume rising towards 107k or more.