🔄 Key Changes:
📉 Price crashed to $102,465.61 (-0.93%), breaking all critical supports
⚠️ New 24h Low: $100,837.90 – Market now in freefall
📉 EMAs Nosedive:
EMA(7): $103,766.41 ⬇
EMA(25): $104,903.95 ⬇
EMA(99): $99,260.17 ⬆ (slight uptick)
📊 Oversold Indicators (Extremely Rare):
RSI(6): 30.44 🧨 (record low)
StochRSI: 1.82 / 4.15 😱 → Extreme reversal zone
---
🔍 Critical Levels
📉 Support Zones:
1. 🛡 $100,837.90 – 24h low (final defense)
2. 📍 $100,372 → $100,441 – Macro support cluster
3. 🧨 $96,402.51 – 2024 Danger Zone
📈 Resistance Zones:
1. 🚧 $102,465.61 – Current Price
2. 📏 $103,766.41 – EMA7
3. 🧱 $103,982.64 – 24h High
---
📈 Price Prediction
⏳ Short-Term (12–24H)
🔁 90% chance to retest $100,837.90
🔻 Break = Dump to $100,372, then $96,402
🔼 Hold = Rebound to $103,766
📉 Volume Divergence:
Current = 4,560 BTC vs 5-day avg 10,756 BTC
🪫 Panic selling exhausted → Bounce fuel
📅 Medium-Term (3–7 Days)
🟢 Bullish (20%):
Hold $100,372 → Range $100K–$104K
🔴 Bearish (80%):
Break below $100K → Target $96,402
---
🧠 Trade Plan
🔴 Short Setup (Momentum Breakdown – 70% Prob.)
Entry:
💥 $102,300
🧺 $103,500 (dead cat bounce)
Targets:
🎯 $100,837 (TP1)
🎯 $100,372 (TP2 – full exit)
SL: ❌ $104,000
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:15 ⚖️
---
🟢 Long Setup (Historic Reversal – 30% Prob.)
Entry:
🛒 $100,850 (above 24h low)
🛒 $100,400 (macro support)
Targets:
🎯 $102,465 (break-even shift)
🎯 $103,766 (EMA7)
🎯 $104,903 (EMA25 – full exit)
SL: ❌ $100,700
✅ Confirmation:
StochRSI > 5
🔊 Volume spike > 8k BTC
---
🧩 Critical Summary
🔴 SHORT TRADE
Trigger: Below $102,000
Targets: $100,837 → $100,372
Invalidation: 4h Close > $104,000
🟢 LONG TRADE
Trigger: Bounce @ $100,850 + StochRSI > 3
Targets: $103,766 → $104,903
Invalidation: 4h Close < $100,700
---
🛡 Risk Management Protocol
💰 Capital Allocation: Max 0.8% per trade
⚙️ Leverage: Max 3x (⚠️ High liquidation risk)
🚨 Adjustments:
🔻 Break below $100,700 → Cancel longs → Short to $96,402
🔼 Break above $104,000 → Cancel shorts → Long to $108,520
📆 Execute only on 4h candle closes
---
⚠️ Final Warning
> 🔥 Bitcoin's StochRSI 1.82 = most oversold in history
📉 Capitulation likely, BUT also strong rebound setup
👀 Watch CME Gap @ $99K + Tether minting
⚡ Expect 10%+ daily volatility
💸 Use only high-conviction capital
Take Trade From here 👉 $BTC
---
🔔 Follow for live alerts & trade updates