Summary

Over the past week, BNB has stalled beneath the $660–$670 supply zone following a breakout above $630. Volume Profile shows heavy trading between $620–$650, with a Point of Control (POC) near $640. ICT/SMC structure has formed a Lower High at $668, suggesting a retracement to the $625–$635 demand zone. Wyckoff’s Effort vs. Result signals weakening buying pressure atop the range, and Order Flow data reveals clustered sell‐orders around $665. We recommend a conservative short at $660–$665 (TP $630, SL $675) or an aggressive long on pullback to $630–$635 (TP $665, SL $620).


Detailed Explanation

1. Price Action & Wyckoff

    1.    Resistance Test: Price has tested the $660–$670 zone twice with declining volume on the second test, indicating inefficiency in absorbing sell‐pressure (Effort vs. Result)  .

    2.    Accumulation to Markup: From 2019 to mid-2024, BNB accumulated between $200–$300, then marked up into 2025; current pause resembles a Wyckoff re-accumulation before potential markdown  .

2. ICT & Smart Money Concepts

    1.    Market Structure: A Lower High formed at $668 on daily, signaling bearish swing structure.

    2.    Supply/Demand Zones: Major supply lies at $660–$670; key demand at $625–$635 where prior consolidation occurred.

3. Fundamental Analysis

    1.    Open Interest & Volume: Open Interest remains elevated, but 24h volume dipped ~10 % over the last three days, suggesting professional traders awaiting clear trend direction  .

    2.    Funding Rate: Slightly positive (≈0.01 %), favoring longs but risking a squeezeback if funding spikes.

4. Volume Profile & Order Flow

    1.    POC: Highest traded volume sits near $640, defining fair value  .

    2.    Order Flow: Large block sell orders cluster at $665, increasing rejection probability at that level.


Trade Setups

Strategy    Entry Zone    Target (TP)    Stop Loss (SL)    R/R Ratio

Conservative    Short at $660–$665    $630    $675    ~1 : 2

Aggressive    Long at $630–$635    $665    $620    ~1 : 3


Most Probable Path (Next 3–5 Days)

    1.    Retracement from $665 to $630–$635 (demand retest).

    2.    Rejection/Rebound: If $630–$635 holds, expect a bounce toward $665; if broken, further markdown toward $600.


Key Definitions

    •    Lower High (LH): A peak lower than the previous, indicating bearish structure.

    •    Point of Control (POC): Volume Profile level with maximum traded volume, considered fair value.

    •    Effort vs. Result: Wyckoff principle comparing volume (“effort”) to price movement (“result”).

Execution Notes

    •    Place tight SL beyond structural invalidation levels.

    •    Monitor real‐time Order Flow (e.g., Bookmap, Cignals) for block order shifts.

    •    Adjust position size per volatility spikes.

$BNB

Analysis based on live data from Binance and TradingView as of June 21, 2025.