#美国国债 $BTC 6 June 21 Evening Operation Analysis

From the 4-hour candlestick chart, the recent trend of Bitcoin has shown a pattern of fluctuating downward followed by a weak rebound. From June 11 to 13, there was a rapid decline, followed by a period of range-bound trading. After a brief surge on June 17, it fell back again, with the overall bearish sentiment dominating recently. However, during the decline, there were also attempts from bulls to counterattack, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. It can be seen that the EMA30 is currently at the 1046 position, while Bitcoin at 1037 is below the moving average, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The moving averages continue to operate downward, exerting pressure on prices. If the price wants to rebound, it needs to break through the pressure of the EMA30 moving average. Although the MACD has shown slight convergence, it remains in the bearish range overall, indicating that bearish momentum has shown signs of weakening but has not completely reversed yet.

Short-term strong support: 1022 is the recent low point of the decline, where the price has gained significant support for a rebound, making it a key defensive level for bulls. If it tests this level again and holds, it may trigger a rebound; if it breaks down effectively, the lower space may open further, looking at the previous low of the range.

Short-term pressure: 1046 is the current moving average pointing downward, and the price is operating below it. A short-term rebound that touches this moving average is likely to encounter bearish selling pressure. The trading volume during the breakout can be observed; if it breaks out with increased volume, the pressure level can turn into support, with the upper space looking towards the next pressure level.

Going Long: If the price retraces to the 1022 support level and the candlestick forms clear reversal signals like a hammer or morning star, while the MACD green bars continue to shorten. A light long position can be attempted in the 1023 - 1025 range, with a stop-loss set near 1022 and a target towards 1046-106.

Going Short: If the price rebounds to the 1046 pressure level and the candlestick forms bearish signals like a hanging man or evening star, with the MACD red bars shortening or turning. A light short position can be attempted in the 1045 - 1047 range. The stop-loss can be set at 105, with a protective stop-loss at 1052 in case of a low probability breakout to the upside, targeting towards 103-1022 for staggered profit-taking.