$BTC ETF crazily withdrew 12 million dollars! The night before the whales collectively run away, should retail investors bottom out or cut losses?
The cryptocurrency market is fluctuating like a tug-of-war; cutting losses is not as good as sharpening one's skills—before the direction is unclear, it's better to think than to act.
1. Simplified market overview
The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates, institutional on-chain large transaction volume decreased by 28%
Hong Kong spot ETF net outflow shrank to 12 million dollars, but has contracted for five consecutive days.
2. Technical analysis precision positioning
Bollinger Bands narrowing: Middle line
66,200, lower line $63,500
MACD zero axis adhesion: DIF and DEA entangled in -80 range, green bars slightly visible but not expanded
New low in trading volume: 42,000 pieces
2. Direct hit on unlocking positions
107,000+ chasing high locked up
• New strategy: Break below
64,000 to increase positions by 10%, reduce positions to $65,800 on rebound
104,000 bottoming out halfway
Simplified operation: Change grid to 65,500, place orders every $300 to capture the price difference
Leverage long positions stuck in the middle track
Emergency plan:
1. ETH/BTC exchange rate hedge changed to SOL/BTC
2. Take profit/stop loss corrected to 63,600
3. Core risk control three principles
1. Position discipline
• During the fluctuation period, maintain ≤15% position, only increase to 40% upon breaking $66,500
2. Signal revision for changing market conditions
Bollinger Bands narrowing to within 1.8%
Trading volume surging to over 80,000 pieces
3. Event ambush points
Tonight at 20:30 non-farm payroll data: Unemployment rate >4.1% or triggers a rebound
Options maximum pain point updated to $64,000
Patience is required to catch the rabbit.
Brother Sheng's real-time tracking, focusing on empowering strategic dreamers, key for value leap is being delivered within a limited time.
