$BTC

📉 Bitcoin vs. Geopolitics: Iran–Israel Conflict Hits Risk Assets

$BTC is holding $104.7K, but the real question is: why isn’t it surging amid global tensions?

Let’s unpack what’s really driving the market 👇

📊 Market Snapshot

• BTC: $104,700 — flat to slightly red

• ETH: +2.0%

• XRP: +1.2%

• SOL: +0.2%

Altcoins are holding, but no breakout. This isn’t risk-on — this is hesitation.

Despite the conflict, Bitcoin is behaving like a risk asset, not a safe-haven.

⚔️ Geopolitical Pressure Building

• Massive cyberattack on Nobitex (Iran’s top exchange) — over $90M lost

• Oil spiked 7–11% after Israel’s June strikes

• BTC dipped to ~$103K during the same window

Gold up, BTC down = institutions still don’t see BTC as “digital gold” yet.

📉 Technical Trendline Insight

📌 If escalation continues:

→ $95K–$100K retest on the table

→ Volatility spike likely across BTC + oil + global equities

📌 If things cool down:

→ $107K–$110K bounce possible

→ Altcoins could lead a short-term risk rebound

But BTC’s status as a global hedge is still evolving — not locked in yet.

🧠 Sentiment Check

• Crypto Fear & Greed Index: ~60 (Greed)

• Smart money is still accumulating quietly

• This isn’t panic — it’s risk-on caution with one eye on macro

✅ Final Take

$BTC at $104.7K is resilient—but not immune.

Geopolitical chaos alone isn’t moving the needle like gold or oil.

Watch the real drivers:

→ Fed policy

→ Oil prices

→ Liquidity + stablecoin flows

💬 Are you hedging in stablecoins? Rotating to alt setups? Or stacking BTC dips?

Markets move fast — stay focused, stay smart.