#PowellRemarks
In my opinion:
Regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025, the market currently expects about 1-2 cuts (each by 25 basis points), in line with the Fed's forecast.
However, if inflation decreases faster than expected or economic growth slows significantly, the Fed may act sooner, possibly by mid-2025.
Conversely, if inflation remains persistent or the labor market is too hot, the delay could extend until the end of the year or longer.
Factors such as fiscal policy under the new administration or geopolitical volatility may also influence the timing and pace of cuts.
