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✅ SMC Analysis for ETH/USDT Chart (1 Hour Frame)
🔹 1. General Trend (Structure)
The trend is clearly downward, from a peak of 2879.22 to a bottom of 2436.98.
A negative Break of Structure (BOS) occurred when breaking the bottom at 2609.45 and then 2436.98.
Currently, the price is fluctuating within a narrow range (potential accumulation).
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🔹 2. Important Areas
Highest Peak: 2879.22 — there is inactive liquidity.
Most Recent Bottom: 2436.98 — liquidity that may target to attract sellers.
Moving Averages MA:
MA(7) = 2516 — the price is below it.
MA(25) = 2550 — first resistance.
MA(99) = 2586 — stronger resistance.
Prices are now below all moving averages = clear buying weakness.
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🔹 3. Stochastic Indicator K/D
K = 42.98 and D = 37.14 → close to the oversold area.
J = 54.67 indicates a slight rebound, but not enough to confirm a buy.
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🔹 4. OBV (On-Balance Volume):
OBV is in continuous decline → reflects liquidity exiting the market, negative confirmation.
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🎯 Ready Recommendation (Continue Selling)
🟠 Proposed Trade (Short):
Sell Entry Point: 2,550 – 2,586 (Resistance Area + Strong MA)
First Target: 2,465
Second Target: 2,414
Stop Loss: 2,610 (above the last peak and the purple indicator)
> In case of a rise, buying is not recommended until a clear breakout above 2,610 and a one-hour candle close.
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📌 Important Notes:
The price is currently trapped between support and a previous bottom.
The market is waiting for a break in either direction.
It is best to activate the sell trade after a bearish reversal candle appears from the resistance.
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