Brothers, friends, I’m not creating anxiety, it’s really down to the wire! According to the ancestral 'four-year cycle' script of our crypto world, the next half month might be the last golden window! Whether the crazy bull comes or not depends on these few days, my heart is racing to my throat!
Why do I say this? Look:
Bitcoin is 'eating alone' again! It alone accounts for 63.9% of the entire crypto market! What does this mean? Flip through the history books, every time during a bull market, when Bitcoin's share rises above 64%, it basically indicates the peak, and it’s time to take a break. Then it would be time for the little brothers to take the stage for the 'altcoin season' celebration! This is the rule!
Time waits for no one, and the big players are anxious! Regardless of whether this bull market is really following the old calendar, according to the 'cycle faction', after October this year, this wave of bull market will officially come to an end! Calculating it, there are only four months left: July, August, September, and October. The big players want to push the price up, want to unload their holdings, want to inflate the bubble of altcoins and then pop it—this time is really tight! If we delay any longer, it will be too late! So now! Is the key starting point for the performance of altcoins! We are already standing on the edge of a powder keg!
The market is terrifyingly 'quiet'! Look at Bitcoin's 'implied volatility', which has already dropped to the same level as the low point in September last year’s bear market! This feeling is like the dead silence before a storm, making it hard to breathe. This usually means: something big is coming! The direction is about to become clear, either a rocket launch or a guillotine!
To be honest, there are only two paths in front of us:A black swan attack! For example, if another unexpected event occurs, it could completely shatter the cycle. Then it’s over, a crash would at least take a month, and it would take at least two months to stabilize. If that happens, regardless of whether the market turns bearish later, the 'cycle rule' we believe in for the crypto world would basically declare invalidity and be completely finished!
The script remains the same, the crazy bull starts! The rule is the rule, the crazy bull that should come has arrived riding on the rainbow!
Personally, I still tend to believe in the latter! Believing in this cycle has become my 'faith' while navigating the crypto world! Of course, I’m not naive. If there’s anything wrong, I’ll definitely reduce my holdings and run at the first opportunity! If the market finally chooses to go down completely and breaks the cycle, I’ll accept it without a second thought! Cut losses! Why? Because what attracts me most about the crypto world is its pendulum-like periodicity! With this rule in place, we retail investors have a chance to gamble and turn a bicycle into a motorcycle, outperforming the sluggish stock market!
But what if this core charm—periodicity—is gone? Then the attraction of the crypto world to me would be greatly diminished. With high volatility and risk, and no 'rules' as an anchor, I might as well go back to buy some blue-chip stocks honestly! At least I can sleep well!
So, friends! A thousand words boil down to one:
The key to the key is this half month! Whether it’s a mule or a horse, it’s time to take it out for a walk! Let’s keep a close watch together!
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