• Operation Rising Lion: Israel launched long-range airstrikes and covert Mossad drone attacks deep inside Iran, targeting nuclear facilities (like Natanz), missile launchers, IRGC command centers, and military infrastructure  .


  • Iran’s retaliation: Responded with a wave of ballistic missiles and hundreds of drones aimed at Israel — its Operation True Promise III, launching 150+ missiles and ~100 drones  .







📊 Human and infrastructural impact





  • Casualties:



    • Iran reports ~224 killed, 592 injured; human rights groups estimate higher, around 452+ fatalities  .


    • Israel reports 24‑30 deaths and hundreds injured  .



  • Civilians and infrastructure:



    • Tehran has experienced mass evacuations, panic, market closures, and internet blackouts  .


    • Israel’s air defenses (Iron Dome, Arrow) have been highly effective, intercepting most incoming missiles  .








đŸ›Ąïž Military dynamics & sustainability





  • Israeli strikes have degraded key Iranian nuclear and missile infrastructure — though deeply buried sites like Fordo remain intact  .


  • Iran’s missile fire rate may be declining, possibly due to logistical constraints or strategic pause  .


  • The conflict’s longevity is uncertain and largely depends on U.S. involvement and diplomatic shifts  .







🌐 Political & international response





  • United States: Increased military presence in the region (Navy carriers & destroyers), but officially defensive; former President Trump—now an outspoken supporter of Israel—urged civilian evacuation from Tehran .


  • Global reactions:



    • G7 nations call for deep de-escalation though they support Israel’s right to defend itself  .


    • Germany, EU, UK, UN express concern over civilian toll and nuclear site targeting .


    • Countries are evacuating foreign nationals and urging flights to avoid the region  .



  • Regional upheaval: Energy prices and global air traffic disrupted; fears of broader regional war persist  .







🧭 What’s next? Possible scenarios





  • Further escalation: Potential targeting of deeper underground nuclear sites (like Fordo) or even Iran’s Supreme Leader — recently hinted as a “not off‑limits” target  .


  • Diplomatic pressure: Pressure mounts for ceasefires and negotiated settlements; Iran has signaled openness if Israeli strikes halt  .


  • Protracted conflict: Military experts warn of a war of attrition with heavy financial and political tolls .

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