6.17 21:32 #eth# trend analysis

From the current 15-minute K-line view, the price is in a narrow fluctuation stage after a decline, with a short-term trend leaning towards weak consolidation:

Technical Analysis: The K-line pattern shows no obvious reversal signals, the MACD histogram continues to narrow (bearish strength is weak), and although the KDJ indicator is overbought, it has not formed a golden cross.

Trading Volume: After a recent increase in volume and a decline, the trading volume has contracted during the fluctuations, the selling pressure has not yet been fully released, but the new selling momentum is also insufficient.

Key Levels: Watch for support at 2546.00 (previous low) below, and resistance at 2562.69 (current minor platform pressure) above.

In the next 45 minutes, it is highly likely to continue weak fluctuations or a slight decline: if it breaks below the 2546 support, it may test the 2530 - 2540 range; if it holds the support, it may fluctuate narrowly between 2546 - 2563, with little chance of a strong rebound (lack of volume buying signals).

Short-term Trading (Ultra-short speculation)

Conditions for Going Long: If the price breaks through the 2563 resistance with increased volume and confirms support on a pullback, a light long position can be taken, targeting 2570 - 2580 (quick take profit, no lingering).

Conditions for Going Short: If it breaks below the 2546 support with increased volume (confirming effective breakdown), a light short position can be taken, targeting 2535 - 2530 (similarly, quick in and out).

Conditions for Watching: If it maintains a narrow fluctuation between 2546 - 2563 without a clear breakthrough or breakdown signal, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines to avoid stop-losses in a fluctuating market.

Stop-loss Settings: Long Stop-loss: below 2560 (failure to hold the breakout point on a pullback), or a loss exceeding 2% - 3% of the opening amount;

Short Stop-loss: reclaiming 2550 (rebound recapturing the key level after breakdown), or a loss exceeding 2% - 3% of the opening amount.

Position Management: For ultra-short trades, position size ≤ 10% of total funds to avoid significant losses due to fluctuations or sudden volatility.

Emotion Management: Strictly execute the strategy, do not blindly bottom-fish or chase prices, in a fluctuating market “operate less, observe more.”

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and the 45-minute ultra-short prediction has high uncertainty, requiring real-time market dynamics for adjustments. Investment should be cautious, and it is recommended to use small funds for trial and error, prioritizing the safety of principal.