🔻 1. Intraday Rejection Short (Scalp / Day Trade)

Entry: ~105,450–105,600

Setup basis: Recent analysis shows a “dead‑cat bounce” off ~$103k with price being rejected at the EMA(7/25) zone (~105,675)  .

Confirmation: RSI < 40 + bearish 1h candle.

Target: 104,800 → 104,000

Stop‑loss: Above ~105,800

Risk controls: Limit trade size to ≤ 1.5% of capital  .

🔼 2. Breakout Long (Intraday Momentum)

Entry: Above ~105,700 with rising volume (>10k BTC)  .

Target: 106,252 → 106,500

Stop‑loss: Below 105,500

Confirmation: Spike in Binance volume + RSI turning > 50.

🔻 3. Aggressive Swing Short

Entry: Around 106,200, ideally when MACD histogram is still deep (<–300)  .

Target: 105,000 → 103,500

Stop‑loss: Above 106,600

🔼 4. Support Long (Swing Trade)

Entry: Near ~$103,100 support  .

Target: 105,000 → 105,675

Stop‑loss: Below 102,800

Confirmation: RSI < 35 + bullish 4h candle

💡 5. Range / Consolidation Play

$BTC is trading inside a consolidation zone (~104k–107k), with a possible breakout continuation toward recent highs (~110k–112k)  .

Strategy: Buy dips near 104k–103k, take profits near 107k–110k zone.

Stop‑loss: Just below 101k–103k, considering big support around 100k 📉 .

🧭 Key Technical Levels

Support:

Major zone: $103k–104k (accumulation) 

Psychological anchor: $100k 

Resistance:

Immediate: ~105k–107k (EMA band / previous highs) 

Targets: $110k–112k (record highs) 

Bull case: ~$120k+ 

📅 Broader Context

On‑chain & flows: BTC near all‑time highs (~109k–112k), with declining exchange reserves and a single‑day stablecoin inflow of $550 M to Binance—signifying institutional buying  .

Macro triggers: Watch for the July 20 Fed meeting—spillover volatility from S&P & Nasdaq could impact BTC  .

Patterns & momentum: Golden cross triggered; breakout from flag pattern bullish  . But volume is moderately low—risk of false breakouts  .

⚠️ Risk Management Tips

Position sizing: Stick to ≤ 1–2% risk per trade  .

Loss control: Identify clear stop-loss levels below key support/resistance zones.

Confirmation: Wait for volume confirmation, RSI/MACD alignment, and candlestick signals before entering.

✅ Trade Idea Entry Zone Target(s) Stop‑Loss Strategy Type

Intraday Short 105.45–105.60 104.8 → 104.0 >105.80 Scalp.

Breakout Long >105.70 106.25 → 106.50 <105.50 Momentum play.

Swing Short ~106.20 105.0 → 103.5 >106.60 Countertrend.

Support Long ~103.10 105.0 → 105.68 <102.80 Swing.

Range Bot 104k–107k 110k–112k (upside) 101k (downside) Range / Dips.

📌 Bottom line: BTC is at a critical juncture—consolidating near all‑time highs with mixed momentum. If it breaks above ~106.5k–107k on strong volume, bulls target recent highs (~110–112k) and beyond. But failure at resistance opens the door to ~$103–104k or even ~$100k. Choose your setups based on your timeframe, manage risk tightly, and follow volume and indicator signals closely.

#BTCUSDT