#FOMCMeeting

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the federal funds rate steady at 4.25%–4.50%, pausing further adjustments amid mixed signals from inflation and trade tensions .

Data-driven caution: Soft inflation (CPI/PPI), strong labor market numbers, and the potential inflationary impact of tariffs are prompting a "wait‑and‑see" stance. They'll want more clarity before committing .

Dot plot preview: The Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, to be released post-meeting, may offer nuance—markets are speculating on perhaps one cut in late 2025 .

Geopolitical & tariff risks: Ongoing Middle East tensions, rising oil prices, and tariffs continue to influence inflation expectations and constrain policy flexibility .