๐๏ธ Date -June 17,2025
๐ Key Observations
Price: $153.29 (-1.57%) โ rejected at EMA(25)/(99) zone
Volume: $545.7M (โ1.7%), but real volume down 70% vs 5-day avg
RSI: 50.12 โ momentum neutralized (prev: 53.55)
MACD: Bearish trend persists (Histogram -0.33)
Rejection Zone: $156.37โ$157.22 (EMA cluster) blocked upside
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๐ Key Metrics
Current Price: $153.29
EMAs:
EMA(7): $152.29 โ (support)
EMA(25): $156.37 โ (resistance)
EMA(99): $157.22 โ (resistance)
RSI(6): 50.12 (no clear bias)
MACD Histogram: -0.33 (bearish)
Range: $147.47 โ $158.80 (24h)
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๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ป Bearish Pressure Signs
โ Rejected at major EMAs โ confirms seller dominance
โ ๏ธ Volume drop = lack of conviction on rallies
โ๏ธ EMA squeeze forming: technical tension between $152โ$157
๐ป MACD Histogram worsens = bearish momentum building
๐ฏ๏ธ Long upper wick to $158.80 = trapped longs + liquidation risk
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โ๏ธ Key Levels to Watch
๐ผ Resistance:
$156.37 (EMA 25)
$157.22 (EMA 99)
$158.80 (24h high)
๐ฝ Support:
$152.29 (EMA 7)
$150.00 (psychological)
$147.47 (24h low)
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๐ Price Forecast
Next 24h:
๐ Base Case (70%): Breakdown to $150 โ $148
๐ข Bull Case (30%): Hold EMA(7) โ bounce to $156
3-Day View:
Close <$152 = bearish to $147
Close >$157 = trend reversal confirmed
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๐ ๏ธ Trade Setups
๐น Intraday Shorts
1. Rejection Short
๐ Entry: $155.50โ$156.00
๐ฏ Target: $153.00 โ $151.50
๐ SL: $156.50
โ Trigger: 15m bearish engulfing
2. EMA(7) Breakdown
๐ Entry: $152.50
๐ฏ Target: $151.00 โ $149.50
๐ SL: $153.00
โ Trigger: Volume >900K on break
๐ธ Swing Setups
1. Breakdown Short
๐ Entry: $151.80
๐ฏ Target: $150.00 โ $148.00
๐ SL: $152.50
โ Confirm: RSI <45
2. Aggressive Long (Counter-Trend)
๐ Entry: $148.00
๐ฏ Target: $150.00 โ $152.00
๐ SL: $147.30
โ Trigger: Bullish div + 4h volume spike
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๐ Risk Management
Capital Risk: โค2%
TP Strategy:
Short: 50% at $151, 50% at $149
Long: 50% at $150, 50% at $152
Account Risk: Max 0.8%
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โ ๏ธ Key Triggers
- BEARISH:
! Close <$152.29 (EMA 7)
! RSI < 45
! MACD histogram < -0.40
! Volume >1M on drop
+ BULLISH:
! Close >$156.37
! RSI > 55
! Volume >1.5M on rally
! MACD histogram > -0.20
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โ Summary
SOL/USDT is in post-rejection consolidation:
Danger Zone: $152.29โ$156.37
Breakdown Trigger: $152.29
Best Trades:
1. Short @ $155.50 (SL $156.50)
2. Breakdown Short below $152.50 (SL $153.00)
3. Counter-Long Only at $148.00 (SL $147.30)
๐ Volume weakness & EMA rejection = bearish lean.
๐ฏ Take partial profits at $151.00.
โ ๏ธ Avoid fresh longs above $153 until EMA(25) is flipped.
Take Trade From here ๐ $SOL
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๐ Follow for live SOL/USDT updates
