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๐๏ธDate-17 June,2025
๐ Key Observations
Price: $276.88 (-2.36%) โ testing 24h low ($271.68)
Volume: $79.61M โ current 220.7K (โ12% vs 5-day avg)
RSI: 49.29 โ neutral, near decision zone
EMA Status: Lost EMA(7), holding above EMA(25)
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๐ Key Metrics
Current Price: $276.88
EMAs:
EMA(7): $278.96 (resistance)
EMA(25): $265.89 (support)
EMA(99): $228.04
RSI(6): 49.29
24h Range: $271.68 โ $295.75
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๐ Technical Breakdown
1. EMA Breakdown โ Lost EMA(7), indicating short-term weakness
2. Volume Drop โ Below 5-day avg; lacks momentum
3. Key Support Range โ $271.68 to $265.89 cluster
4. Bearish Pattern โ Lower highs + lower lows
5. RSI Neutrality โ Could swing either direction
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๐ฎ Price Prediction
Next 24h:
๐ Base Case (70%): Breakdown below $271.68 โ $265.89 โ $260.00
๐ Bull Case (30%): Hold $276 โ bounce to $278.96
3-Day Outlook:
Close <$265.89 โ retest $250
Recovery >$278.96 needed to regain bullish structure
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๐ง Trade Strategy
โฑ๏ธ Intraday Trades (4โ6h)
1. ๐ป Short at Resistance
Entry: $278.00 โ $278.50
Target: $275.00 โ $272.00
Stop: $279.50
Trigger: 15m bearish candle
2. ๐ป Breakdown Short
Entry: $271.50
Target: $268.00 โ $265.00
Stop: $273.00
Trigger: Volume > 250K on breakdown
๐ Swing Trades
1. ๐ผ EMA Support Long
Entry: $266.00
Target: $270.00 โ $275.00
Stop: $264.50
Trigger: RSI > 50 + rejection wick
2. ๐ผ Trend Reversal Long
Entry: $280.00 (above EMA 7)
Target: $285.00 โ $290.00
Stop: $278.00
Confirmation: 4h close > $278.96
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โ ๏ธ Risk Management
Position Size: โค2% of capital
Take Profit:
Short: 50% at $272.00, 50% at $268.00
Long: 50% at $275.00, 50% at $280.00
Stop Loss: Max 0.8% account risk
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๐จ Critical Triggers
- BEARISH:
! Close < $271.68 (24h low)
! RSI < 45
! Volume > 300K on breakdown
! EMA(7) crosses below EMA(25)
+ BULLISH:
! Close > $278.96 (EMA 7)
! RSI > 55
! Volume > 350K on breakout
! Bullish engulfing candle
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๐ Summary
AAVE/USDT is at make-or-break support:
Watch Zone: $271.68 โ $276.88
Key Resistance: $278.96 (EMA 7)
Best Setups:
1. Shorts from $278.20 (stop $279.50)
2. Breakdown shorts below $271.50 (stop $273.00)
3. Counter-trend longs near $266.00 (stop $264.50)
> ๐ฏ Note: Trade lighter. EMA(25) at $265.89 is a strong support zone, but if it breaks, expect a move to $250. Volume weakness suggests possible fake-outs.
Take Trade From here ๐ $AAVE
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๐ Follow for updates and real-time signals!