#VietnamCryptoPolicy

🎯 How to adapt your crypto strategy to economic conditions (2025)

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🧭 1. Understanding market cycles

Cryptos follow 4 major cyclical phases:

Phase Description Recommended Strategy

🔼 Bull Market Strong price increase, general enthusiasm Hold / Swing Trading / DCA upwards

🔽 Bear Market Prolonged price drop, dominant fear Slow Accumulation / DCA / Stablecoin

⚖️ Range Market Lateral movements without a clear trend Scalping / Arbitrage / Staking

💥 Capitulation Massive panic sell, very low volumes Don't sell anything, enter slowly

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🌍 2. Analysis of macroeconomic conditions

🔹 Rising interest rates

💡 Impact: Reduces overall liquidity → people invest less in crypto.

✅ Strategy: Less risky trading, more stablecoins / fixed-yield staking.

🔹 High inflation

💡 Impact: Cryptos like BTC are perceived as a "hedge" against inflation.

✅ Strategy: Accumulate BTC / ETH + DeFi-related projects.

🔹 Financial crisis / geopolitical instability

💡 Impact: High volatility, FUD (Fear-Uncertainty-Doubt).

✅ Strategy: Reduce exposure, position yourself on stablecoins, wait for rebound zones.

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💼 3. Adapting your portfolio

Here is a model according to the situation:

Situation BTC/ETH (%) Solid Altcoins (%) Risky Altcoins (%) Stablecoins (%)

🟢 Bull Market 50 30 15 5

🟡 Uncertainty 40 25 10 25

🔴 Bear Market 30 10 0 60

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🔐 4. Useful tools & techniques

Tool/Tech Usefulness

DCA Invest every week/month to smooth prices

Staking Earn passive income, especially when prices stagnate

Stop Loss Protect your capital in case of a sudden fall