PEPE Critical Point Analysis: The Whale and Shark Game Behind the Sideways Movement
On-chain data reveals the main force's layout
Key indicators over the past 72 hours show a rare steady state:
• Evidence of capital anchoring: Net outflow from exchanges reached 32 trillion PEPE, a monthly peak
• Whales continue to accumulate: The top 10 addresses increased their holdings to 41%
• Volatility compression: Bollinger Band width narrowed to 9.7%
The technical secret of triangular convergence
Daily chart builds an ascending triangle structure:
• Bottom support: The 0.0000108-0.0000110 range has been tested 12 times without breaking
• Top pressure: The 0.0000116-0.0000118 range has accumulated a historical trapped amount of 21 trillion coins
• Volume anomaly: Volume decreased by 38% during three impacts on the pressure line
Three signs of a potential breakout
1. Concentration of holding costs:
On-chain data shows that 78% of circulating chips are concentrated in the 0.0000105-0.0000115 range
2. Derivatives hint:
Perpetual contract funding rates maintained at -0.02% to 0.05%
3. Time window resonance:
Historical data shows that PEPE has a 68% probability of breaking out on the 4th to 5th day of sideways movement
Breakout momentum forecast
Bullish nuclear explosion point observation:
• Must break 0.0000118 with volume in 15 minutes
• If it stabilizes above 0.0000121, it will trigger a 470 million level short squeeze (current hidden amount accounts for 31% of the total contract volume)
Defense stronghold alert:
• Effective drop below 0.0000107 requires stop-loss
• A sudden increase of over 800 billion coins from exchange whales is a precursor to a crash
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