#IsraelIranConflict
#BTC is up today, trading around $106,700, even as tensions flare between Iran and Israel. Here's why it’s rallying despite the geopolitical headwinds:
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🧠 Key Drivers Behind the Rally
1. Technical Bounce and Liquidity Pattern Analysis
A bullish fractal pattern has been identified, characterized by Bitcoin's rebound following a price dip, mirroring post-2024 conflict patterns. Following a decline to approximately $102,800, BTC has demonstrated renewed upward momentum and is approaching new peak values.
2. Institutional Buying & ETF Inflows
Bitcoin ETFs saw over $1.3 billion in inflows this week, and veterans like Michael Saylor are reportedly increasing holdings amid the unrest .
On-chain data shows investors are not panic-selling—netflows and open interest remain steady .
3. Loose Global Liquidity
Macro investor Raoul Pal points out that Bitcoin correlates strongly (~0.89) with global M2 money supply. That means liquidity and monetary trends, not geopolitics, are steering the market .
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Why Geopolitics Aren’t Overriding These Trends
In the short term, conflicts tend to trigger risk-off selling—Bitcoin dipped below $103K recently .
But this was followed by buy-the-dip behavior around technical support (50‑day moving average) .
Institutional confidence and macro flows are offsetting short-lived panic.