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Not even a war over a low volume weekend could drag $BTC below $100k
it seems the low could be in
#BTC
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Gold-1
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Save your brain cells for easy times or obvious trades Until then the market is noise and likely not worth trying to squeeze the 5% PnD move on many alts BTC and some alts put in a really solid move after Iran launched rockets at Qatar but that trade is likely now done Right now retail don’t care about alts, it’s all institutional players wanting to buy up Bitcoin. The byproduct of this is crypto natives chasing some alts which resulted in these brief moves up Retail is too focused on TradFi right now where everything is going up and to the right every single day. It shows you that the money is there bidding, just not bidding crypto… why would they?
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Many talking like they have any idea whats going on. 'its all for show' its 'to save face'. Iran launches 8 rockets at Qatar, BTC bounces 0.5% and people immediately assume 'thats it' I don't think its necessarily this simple. Trump is very unpredictable and volatile... That's one thing we can be confident about Try not to lose your portfolio guessing 'the' bottom in the process and get chopped up. My gut says we see choppy conditions for a while now even if this is the end of the Iran issue (i don't think it is)
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People forget that Bitcoin isn’t the volatile asset it once was Bitcoin dropped 15% on the initial tariff black swan news at the beginning of march. Not even a global black swan event could push bitcoin down further than that in a single candle I think readjust your bitcoin entry levels Mid to low 90s for BTC is an all in scenario If we drop more than that without a global catastrophe I think the cycle is done It’s quite an easy line in the sand price marker
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I am now in 100% synthetic fiat. I’m unsure what happens next, and want to wait and see what develops before jumping into anything new The month has been quite good despite giving back some initial profits... Expected at the tail end of a trend / good PnL run. In the past I would keep trading these conditions and give back profits, I refuse to do the same this time.. it’s time to take a forced hiatus There are a few moving parts: tariff pause ending in under 2 weeks without much progress, trump bombing Iran nuclear facilities… how will Iran and its allies respond? Tomorrow I will take some more chips off of the table and into the bank to help with peace of mind Couple this with it being the summer now I honestly don’t have a super strong bias. I would rather wait until there’s more clarity in the market Binance has been decent on the month with +$300k. The PnL curve is healthy and I intend to keep it that way BYBIT has also been profitable but less so, I need to slow things down and become less reactive In saying all of this, I don’t feel the need to short here either. It doesn’t feel particularly interesting to me
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I am now in 100% synthetic fiat. I’m unsure what happens next, and want to wait and see what develops before jumping into anything new The month has been quite good despite giving back some profits. In the past I would keep trading these conditions and give back profits, I refuse to do the same this time.. it’s time to take a forced hiatus There are a few moving parts: tariff pause ending in under 2 weeks without much progress, trump bombing Iran nuclear facilities… how will Iran and its allies respond? Tomorrow I will take some more chips off of the table and into the bank to help with peace of mind Couple this with it being the summer now I honestly don’t have a super strong bias. I would rather wait until there’s more clarity in the market Binance has been decent on the month with +$300k. The PnL curve is healthy and I intend to keep it that way BYBIT has also been profitable but less so, I need to slow things down and become less reactive In saying all of this, I don’t feel the need to short here either. It doesn’t feel particularly interesting to me
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