Short- and Medium-Term Outlook
Many analysts agree that BTC could be at its peak by June-July, with an observed range between $120,000 and $137,000.
The key support to watch is between $107,000 and $112,000, with technical resistances near $112,000, and possible jumps towards $137,000 in a favorable context.
According to Changelly, BTC could reach $120,610 by June 16, 2025 (approx. +15%).
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💰 Year-End 2025 Outlook
Significant growth is expected as the year progresses:
Optimistic predictions estimate between $150,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025.
Bitwise: up to $230,000.
Arthur Hayes (BitMEX): up to $250,000 if the Fed implements QE.
Apsk32 (Cointelegraph): a "reasonable" figure of $220,000, with potential to rise to $444,000 if the momentum continues.
Banks and influential experts are also optimistic:
Bernstein and Scaramucci foresee BTC around $200,000 in 2025.
H.C. Wainwright anticipates $225,000 by year-end.
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🔍 Key Factors Influencing
1. ETF and Institutional Investment: increasing amount of flows into BTC ETFs (over $130 billion in assets) drives demand.
2. Monetary Policy: Fed movements and a possible shift towards QE could spike the price — as noted by Hayes.
3. Regulation and Institutional Adoption: numerous pro-crypto pronouncements and policies, especially in the U.S. (including public support and state reserve creation), generate optimism.
4. Technical Analysis: formations like "golden cross" and flag patterns indicate an upward trend
