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$BTC bull or bear?

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#bitcoin i 200-Day Cost and #miningBTC Costs are now closely aligned. This matches Satoshi Nakamoto’s classic theory: “The price of any commodity tends to gravitate toward the cost of production.” This implies: -The market is reaching an equilibrium between price and production cost. -Strong support is now at $98,000–99,000. -Risk is rising for less efficient miners. -Competition is intensifying across the Bitcoin mining industry.

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#bitcoin Average Mining Costs 2025-07-10 85,901 usd $BTC

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Why Isn’t Retail FOMO Kicking In Despite Bitcoin’s New ATH? 🧐 -Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high ($118,000+), but retail FOMO is still missing. Why? -Google Trends for “Bitcoin” remains at multi-year lows—even lower than previous bull market peaks. -Mainstream media coverage is minimal; top outlets rarely mention Bitcoin despite record prices. -Retail investors feel “FIAMO” (Fear I Already Missed Out) instead of classic FOMO—many believe it’s too late to buy at these levels. -Past bear market scars (Luna, FTX) still haunt retail, making them cautious and slow to re-enter. -This cycle is institution-driven: ETFs, corporates, and whales are leading the rally, not retail traders. -Social media engagement and YouTube views on crypto topics are far below previous cycles. -Interest is shifting to AI, memecoins, and other narratives—Bitcoin is no longer the only star. $BTC

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Short-term view 👀 I believe: 🟢 BTC goes up 🔻 ETH pulls back — 📌 Bitcoin still has strong ETF momentum 📌 Macro backdrop supports the “digital gold” narrative 📌 ETH? Rotation fatigue, unclear catalyst, scaling story cooling down — Same market. Different stories. That’s where the edge is ✍️📊

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If the market continues upward from here... Among top coins, the ones I’m eyeing are: 🔸 #BTC — Leading the cycle. ETF flows, macro still favor it. 🔸 #DOGE — Meme king, still -69% from ATH. Retail not back yet. 🔸 #solana — The L2 killer. Fast, cheap, gaining dev momentum. Narrative rotation & capital rotation both benefit it. 🔸 #TRUMP — Political meme season. If volatility spikes, this one runs. Each plays a different story. If this leg goes parabolic — it won’t be the same leaders as 2021. New catalysts, new memes, new money. I’m watching: BTC, DOGE, SOL, TRUMP. What’s on your radar?

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