#USChinaTradeTalks USChinaTradeTalks: US-China Trade War & Crypto: Opportunity or Trap?
#USChinaTradeTalks | US-China negotiations are shaking the markets: what if $BTC goes on a rollercoaster ride? Discover why waiting for the end of the conflict could be costly or bring great returns.
1. Impactful fundamental analysis
US-China trade negotiations directly affect global capital flows and, therefore, cryptocurrencies. When these two giants clash over tariffs, macroeconomic uncertainty increases, leading some investors to flee risky assets while others seek alternative refuges. Bitcoin, perceived as an anti-inflationary store of value, could benefit from such a scenario if the dollar weakens. But beware: in the event of a sudden escalation, panic first shakes the most volatile assets, including cryptocurrencies. Ignoring these dynamics risks buying at the peak or selling in panic.
2. Quick tutorial: “2 macro indicators to watch”
Correlation between Asian stocks & crypto
Keep an eye on Asian indices (Nikkei, CSI 300): a sharp drop in these markets usually reflects global sentiment, triggering a pullback in cryptos. Set an alert on TradingView for the $BTC/index ratio or use a correlation widget. If the index falls before Bitcoin, prepare your protection ahead of the crypto wave.
Risk-on/risk-off sentiment via indices and on-chain
Use a sentiment indicator (VIX index or on-chain exchange flow indicator): a jump in the VIX or an increase in exchange inflows signals capital flight. In a risk-off phase, reduce your exposure or open a small protection with stablecoin/short selling. Conversely, a relaxation of sentiment could precipitate a crypto rebound.
3. Noteworthy news & Strong opinion
Latest statement: negotiations have resumed in London, but with no guarantee of a definitive agreement. If tensions rise, expect a spike in BTC volatility: