#Quick Analysis of BTC/USDT Trading Strategy – 14/06/2025
Real-time price: ~104,300 USDT
Short-term trend: Consolidating sideways in a narrow range, waiting for a breakout
Macroeconomic impact: No major news tonight, the market is testing the bottom after a strong correction.
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✅ Proposed trading strategy
1. Long Order (priority if it hits support)
• Entry: 103,456
• SL: 102,950 (below the nearest support)
• TP: 105,800
• Probability of execution and success: ~65%
• Reason: The range of 103,400–103,500 is currently strong support according to H1–H4, RSI shows slight positive divergence; if BTC holds this range, the chance of a rebound is quite high.
2. Short Order (if BTC retraces to resistance)
• Entry: 105,850 – 106,125
• SL: 106,500
• TP: 104,350
• Probability: ~60%
• Reason: The resistance cluster around 106,000 is the old high H1-H4; if BTC doesn’t have news to push prices, it will likely face a sell-off when reaching this area.
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⚠️ Important warning
• BTC is slightly volatile with low volume; caution is needed for a “fake breakout” in both directions.
• If BTC drops below 102,950, the technical pattern will be completely bearish → need to exit Long immediately.
• If BTC breaks above 106,500 with high volume → short-term trend reversal becomes clearly bullish → stop Short.
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Conclusion:
The current strategy balances both directions. Prioritize Long if BTC retests strong support, but be ready to reverse to Short if there is an excessive retracement to resistance. Do not trade in the range of 104,800–105,600 to avoid getting trapped. Manage risk tightly.