Here is the latest update on the conflict situation between Iran and Israel as of June 15, 2025, along with an analysis of upcoming trends:
🔥 Current developments
• Israel launches 'Operation Rising Lion' – from June 13, over 200 aircraft and hundreds of strike points have targeted nuclear facilities (Natanz, Isfahan, Fordow) and military installations, as well as senior Iranian leaders.
Satellite images confirm significant damage at Natanz, but the underground facility still exists.
• Iran retaliates fiercely – on the night of June 13 and the early morning of June 14, Iran launched about 150 ballistic missiles and over 100 UAVs under 'Operation True Promise III'. Most were intercepted, but it still resulted in at least 3–4 Israeli casualties and hundreds injured, including civilians. This morning, there was another retaliatory attack with a weaker intensity of about 40 ballistic missiles. On the opposite side, there were airstrikes on the Iranian capital.
• The conflict escalates to maximum intensity – Iran declares it will continue attacks on both Israel and American ports in the region. Netanyahu responds boldly, stating that 'the road to Tehran is open' and Israel will attack 'everywhere' related to the Iranian regime. Both sides vow not to stop the campaign.
• Stalled diplomacy – the US-Iran nuclear negotiation round in Oman (scheduled for June 15) has been canceled. Major powers such as the US, Russia, China, EU, and UN are calling for restraint, but both sides are avoiding strong pressure.
📊 Assessment & Analysis
1. The campaign does not stop on June 13–14
• Israel sees this as the first phase in a prolonged campaign to diminish Iran's nuclear and military capabilities, while Tehran will retaliate to the end.
2. Great risk of escalation
• Iran threatens to extend attacks to American targets, and the Houthi group in Yemen has intervened to support the counterattack. If the Iran Axis network acts collectively, regional tensions will increase.
3. Direct confrontation with global consequences
• Gas and oil prices are rising, and regional air traffic is disrupted. Repairing the US-Iran nuclear conflict is nearly impossible at this moment.
4. No signs of negotiations or de-escalation whatsoever
• The threats from both sides are very clear. The US and Europe have only calls for restraint left; aside from supporting Israel with air defense systems, Washington has shown no signs of direct military intervention.
✅ Conclusion Strategy
• The situation continues to escalate, with both sides ready to carry out further airstrike and missile operations.
• The risk of escalation into regional war is very high if Iran activates attacks on US facilities or through allies like Hezbollah and Houthi.
• Diplomatic possibilities are temporarily suspended, and the US-Iran nuclear negotiations will be indefinitely postponed.
• Notable developments in the coming days include: Will Israel continue deep airstrikes into Iran? Will Iran launch a larger missile barrage? Will the US or allies intervene strongly?
It is advisable to closely monitor developments in the coming days to see which side yields first – or if there are any mediating forces like the United Nations or Russia stepping in to negotiate. But currently: it will be extremely tense, with a very high risk of a comprehensive war in the Middle East.
The current trend in the cryptocurrency market remains fluctuating within a narrow range and reacts rather slowly. However, in the next 12 hours, if the war continues to escalate, there is a very high possibility of a widespread sell-off occurring. If BTC breaks below 100k, it could even drop back below 95k as investors shift to safer assets. In terms of trend, many Altcoins have rebounded after a decline, suggesting Long positions are recommended. However, in my personal view, there is a significant risk, only suitable for experienced professional investors with SW strategies. If you are new to trading, it is advisable to stop trading at this time or prioritize orders in a downward trend. Leverage should be limited or kept to a minimum. $BTC