In case of continued exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel, cryptocurrencies, like other financial markets, will be affected in several ways, depending on the severity of the escalation and the extent of the war. Here are the main expected scenarios:
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🟥 1. Situation of significant military escalation
If the conflict escalates into a full-scale war or involves regional and international powers like America, Hezbollah, or Gulf states, we may witness:
A sharp decline in the cryptocurrency market in the short term, due to:
Investors fleeing to safe assets like gold and the dollar.
Increased fears of internet or power outages in conflict areas.
Pressure on liquidity in emerging markets like Turkey and Iran, which may cause a decline in local crypto currencies (such as Tether on the Iranian Rial).
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🟨 2. Situation of limited and intermittent strikes
If the strikes continue in a limited and non-inclusive manner, the impact will be:
Significant market volatility due to conflicting news.
Increased interest in Bitcoin as a safe haven in some circles, as happened during previous crises.
The possibility of a recovery in stablecoins due to traders resorting to them.
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🟩 3. Short-term opportunities for speculators
In cases of media escalation without comprehensive military intervention, some alternative cryptocurrencies (Altcoins) may benefit from temporary liquidity injection.
Rapid buying/selling waves can be seen in privacy-related currencies (Privacy Coins) like Monero and Zcash, due to some users' desire to maintain the confidentiality of their transactions in times of crisis.
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📌 Practical tips:
1. Monitor geopolitical news moment by moment.
2. Only enter the market if you are prepared to endure sharp fluctuations.
3. Focus on high market cap currencies (BTC - ETH - USDT).
4. Stay away from small or meme projects in times of extreme tension.
