#bitcoinstrategy #marketrebound
🧠 WAR RUMORS TO RECOVERY: THE 7-DAY BITCOIN SIGNAL MODEL
"When war whispers, Bitcoin flinches first — but rebounds before the world regains its balance."
🔗 Correlation Model: War Rumors → Bitcoin Slump → 7-Day Recovery
✅ Historical Case Study: Russia–Ukraine War (Feb 2022)
Day 0 (Invasion Day):
Markets panic.
Bitcoin drops sharply, acting as the first responder to geopolitical fear.
Days 1–3:
Media headlines full of chaos → fear at peak.
Most traders sell in panic or stay out.
Days 4–7:
Rationalisation begins: war impact priced in.
Bitcoin and other risk assets start bottoming out.
Day 8+:
Strong bounce as investors realize the war is regionally contained.
BTC rallies, followed by equities
🗺️ How to Use This as a Trader or Investor
DayMarket SentimentBitcoin BehaviorAction0Shock, panicSharp dropDo nothing or observe1–3ChaosDowntrend or volatileResearch narratives, shortlist buys4–7RationalizationStabilizing or slow recoveryStart positioning into winners8+New reality priced inBTC leads recoveryRide the wave
💡 Thesis Summary:
"War panic creates a 7-day emotional vacuum. Bitcoin is the early mover, but history shows you have a window to buy discounted conviction assets before rational markets return."