#USChinaTradeTalks | US-China negotiations shake the markets: what if the $BTC goes on a rollercoaster? Discover why waiting for the end of the conflict could cost you dearly, or earn you big.

1. Impactful Fundamental Analysis

The US-China trade talks directly impact global capital flows and thus cryptocurrencies. When these two giants clash over tariffs, macro uncertainty rises, prompting some investors to flee risky assets and others to seek alternative havens. Bitcoin, seen as an anti-inflation store of value, could benefit from such a scenario if the dollar weakens. But beware: in the event of a sudden escalation, panic first shakes the most volatile assets, including cryptocurrencies. Ignoring these dynamics risks buying at a high or selling in panic.

2. Quick Tutorial: '2 Macro Indicators to Watch'

  1. Correlation between Asian stocks & crypto


    Monitor Asian indices (Nikkei, CSI 300): a sharp drop in these markets often reverberates on overall sentiment, triggering a crypto pullback. Set up a TradingView alert on the ratio $BTC /index or use a correlation widget. If the index plunges before Bitcoin, prepare your hedge before the crypto wave.

  2. Risk-on/risk-off sentiment via indices and on-chain


    Use a sentiment indicator (VIX index or on-chain exchange flow indicator): a spike in VIX or an increase in exchange inflows signals capital flight. In a risk-off phase, reduce your exposure or open a small stablecoin/short hedge. Conversely, an easing of sentiment can trigger a crypto rebound.

3. Significant News & Strong Opinion

Latest statement: talks have resumed in London, but no guarantee of a final agreement. If tensions rise again, expect a spike in BTC volatility: some algorithms will trigger massive liquidations. Conversely, a surprise easing could rekindle risk appetite and catapult the $BTC to new highs if investors seek to diversify away from traditional stocks. My advice: don't stay frozen waiting for the 'perfect trade peace'; anticipate leading indicators rather than suffer the crowd.

4. Trading Strategy & Iron Psychology

Beginner hedge: Allocate 3–5% of capital to a short or stablecoin hedge when official statements fuel uncertainty. Don't lock up all your margin; always keep a free pocket for re-entry if the market rebounds.

Strict stop-losses: Place your SL below key multi-timeframe supports (Daily/4h). In case of a breakout, exit quickly to avoid a cascade of liquidations.

Rebound plan: Set a partial entry point on the rebound (e.g., StochRSI oversold on 4h) to accumulate at low cost if the conflict calms.

Psychology: Don't let headlines 'US relays pressure' dictate your orders. Document every decision, note your emotions in response to announcements; this strengthens discipline and prevents FOMO or panic selling.

  • ⚠️ this is not financial advice, do your own checks and manage your risk.

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