$BTC
How BTC (Bitcoin) is directly affected by the Israel-Iran conflict, both in the short and medium term:
📉 SHORT-TERM EFFECTS (hours to days)
1. Initial drops due to fear
When the Israeli airstrike occurred, BTC dropped quickly by around 2%-4% in minutes. Why?
Investors flee from risk assets like Bitcoin when there is panic.
They seek refuge in the dollar, gold, bonds, or stablecoins.
2. High volatility
BTC is moving in very wide ranges within hours.
This makes it attractive for short-term traders but dangerous for those seeking stability.
MEDIUM-TERM EFFECTS (days to weeks)
🛑3. Pressure from global inflation
If the conflict causes oil prices to rise (and it already is), that fuels inflation.
Central banks may raise interest rates again → this could be negative for BTC at first.
But if there is weakness in fiat currencies, many see BTC as a safe haven.
4. Narrative of “Bitcoin as digital gold”
In regions where there is a risk of war, banking restrictions, or censorship, Bitcoin gains value:
Easy to move
Does not depend on banks
Cannot be easily confiscated
What analysts are saying now:
Perspective Opinion
Technical BTC is bouncing from key support zones but facing strong resistance at $71,000-$72,000
Fundamental Geopolitics is increasing the perception of BTC as an alternative reserve
Institutional Some funds have reduced exposure, but others are waiting to accumulate
What to watch this week?
Brent and WTI oil prices
Interest rate in the U.S. (FED)
BTC/USDT trading volume
Iran's position on cryptos (could use BTC to avoid sanctions)
In summary:
Short term: BTC may fall due to fear and uncertainty.
Medium term: if the conflict prolongs, BTC could rise as an alternative financial refuge, especially if there are sanctions, inflation, or banking controls.
You can wait to see what happens, or act and invest.
