If the US and Iran reach an agreement this weekend, BTC may touch back to $108,000, but don't expect a V-shaped reversal; Neutral Scenario: Both sides fire a few missiles but do not escalate the conflict, BTC hovers around $105,000; Pessimistic Scenario: Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, BTC plummets below $90,000, and those who are ready to buy the dip should prepare bags to catch the blood.

Response:

In the short term, avoid high leverage! Keep some bullets ready for stabilization signals (for example, if USDT trading volume surges by 15%, it indicates that off-market funds are waiting for opportunities). In the long term, blockchain cross-border payments are expected to grow by 47% this year, and El Salvador is still aggressively accumulating coins, making the downturn a window for long-term positioning.