#以色列伊朗冲突 • Discrepancies over nuclear issues: Iran's nuclear program is at the core of the conflict. The abundance and stockpile of enriched uranium in Iran are approaching weapon-grade levels, the efficiency of new centrifuges has improved, and underground facilities have been enhanced. Israel assesses that Iran's 'nuclear breakout' timeframe has been compressed to 4-6 months. Meanwhile, the Iran nuclear negotiations have stalled due to the U.S. insistence on Iran fully abandoning uranium enrichment, weakening Israel's means to contain Iran's nuclear program. Additionally, Iran's intelligence agency claims to possess confidential documents related to Israel's nuclear facilities, challenging Israel's 'nuclear ambiguity' policy.
• Struggle for regional hegemony: Iran supports anti-Israel armed groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthi movement in Yemen, forming a 'resistance axis' that creates a multi-faceted encirclement of Israel. Iran is also gradually breaking the U.S. sanctions blockade through energy cooperation and military technology exports, enhancing its own influence and causing unease in Israel.