Personal Comment
Away from this historical narrative of the conflict that will be presented below this comment, as a Muslim, I know that this alleged entity called Israel will soon cease to exist, God willing, and the more their oppression and tyranny over Gaza increases, the more my faith in their imminent end grows.
🇮🇱🇮🇷 The conflict between Israel and Iran: A comprehensive view
🔹 Historical Background:
• Before the Islamic Revolution in Iran (1979), relations between Tehran and Tel Aviv were normal, even cooperative.
• After the revolution, Iran adopted an aggressive policy towards Israel, considering it the 'smaller devil,' in contrast to the 'larger devil' (the United States).
• Iran supports armed groups opposed to Israel, most notably Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad in Gaza.
🔹 Geopolitical Dimensions:
• Israel considers Iran an existential threat due to:
• Its nuclear program.
• Its support for armed factions surrounding Israel.
• Its development of long-range missiles.
• Iran sees Israel as a threat to regional security due to:
• Its occupation of Palestinian territories.
• Its close alliance with Washington.
• Its repeated attacks on Iranian forces and their proxies in Syria.
🔹 The Syrian Front:
• After the civil war in Syria, Iran exploited the vacuum to build military bases near the Golan.
• Israel has carried out hundreds of strikes against Iranian sites and others affiliated with Hezbollah in Syria, to prevent 'Iran's permanent military positioning.'
🔹 Recent Developments (2024–2025):
• Tensions have increased unprecedentedly following mutual missile attacks (or through proxies) and mutual assassinations.
• The direct Iranian attack on Israel in April 2024 (in response to the bombing of a consulate in Iran) represented a qualitative escalation.
• Israel responded with strikes inside Iran, according to media reports, while avoiding slipping into total war.
🔹 International Positions:
• The United States supports Israel militarily and politically, but seeks to avoid escalation.
• Russia and China support Iran to varying degrees, especially in the face of Western sanctions.
• The Arabs are divided: some countries have normalized relations with Israel, while others maintain strong ties with Tehran.
🔹 Future Scenarios:
• Nuclear escalation: If Iran approaches the possession of a nuclear weapon, Israel may launch a preemptive strike.
• Total war: across multiple fronts (Lebanon, Gaza, Syria, Yemen).
• Interim Agreement: through international mediation (currently less likely).
