The market operates according to its own logic, necessity, and randomness.
1. The necessary part: such as human nature (greed, fear), major trend directions.
2. The random part: such as breaking news, collective emotions at a certain moment, some coincidences.
This leads to a phenomenon: history tends to repeat itself, but it will not repeat exactly the same way. Those necessary parts will allow similar scenarios (such as similar price charts, similar emotions) to reappear.📈📉 However, those random factors combined are almost impossible to be exactly the same, so every time it 'replays', there will be some differences.
Therefore, learning various trading methods (reading candlesticks, using indicators, recognizing patterns) is useful and necessary. But learning them is not to find a guaranteed winning secret, but to understand how the market operates from different perspectives. The ultimate goal is to develop your own ability to make trading judgments. Behind the market are real people buying and selling; the technology is just a tool to help you understand these behaviors.
The key to learning trading is actually a process of 'clarifying your understanding': after learning a lot of techniques, you will slowly discover that there are only a few core rules. Having experienced market fluctuations, you will truly understand how important it is to control risk.
Peeling away various complex surface phenomena, the most fundamental aspect of the market is actually very simple: the price either goes up or down, knowing that the market will repeat itself, but don't expect to replicate the last time.
Learning technology is for skill practice, not to find a 'sure-win method'.
In the end, grasp the core rules, manage risk well, and see through the essence of price movements is enough.
Although I am optimistic about the overall trend direction for Ethereum this time, unfortunately, after holding some positions for a few days, the big profits are gone again.
Although it is regrettable, those who should pay the price still have to pay it!