Current price: 2474.68 USDT
June 13, 2025 (Friday)
1. [Daily level analysis]: Technical resonance at a critical level, holding it is necessary for a comeback.
Today's ETH large bearish candle has broken through multiple short-term moving averages, and the current price is testing the EMA200 (2425) support area, which is the bull-bear divide of the past few months.
The lower Bollinger Band is about to be touched, forming a support pullback pattern, with potential for a technical rebound.
After rising to a high of 2879 the day before yesterday, it quickly fell back. Today, it directly broke below key moving averages such as MA50, MA100, and MA20, but has not yet broken below the long-term trend bottom.
The daily line has undergone a significant adjustment but has not completely turned bearish. If it closes above 2500 today, it will form a false breakdown pattern, with strong rebound expectations.
2. [4-hour level analysis]: The gold accumulation area after a cliff-like drop.
ETH has plunged significantly since the high point on June 12, quickly breaking through the EMA50 to EMA200 range, with a decline of over 400 points, typical of panic selling behavior.
The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band and has touched the bottom range from June 6-7 (approximately 2470-2420), forming a gold accumulation area.
If it does not break down further, it is expected to open a V-shaped or W-shaped rebound structure.
Currently in the oversold area of the 4-hour level, if it stabilizes above the EMA200 (approximately 2425), a rebound is expected, with a target retest of the 2630-2680 area.
3. [1-hour level analysis]: The end of the drop, brewing counterattack momentum.
On the 1-hour chart, ETH formed a hammer line + lower shadow support combination after a rapid drop, indicating that bottom-buying has begun to enter.
The RSI indicator has entered a severely oversold area, and the MACD has also shown signs of flattening, indicating a demand for a quick repair rebound in the short term.
If the price stabilizes above 2470, the short-term outlook could reach the 2520-2560 range for repairs.
[Action suggestion: Opportunity for low long after high short.]
Direction: Short-term betting on a rebound, primarily focusing on light long positions on the right side.
Opening position: 2461
First Zhiying: 2497
Second Zhiying: 2536
Zhiying loss position: 2423
