📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/06/13)
The shadow of war + market sentiment are both fermenting, ETH sees a showdown after a sharp drop! Let’s zoom in on the key support/resistance zones to grasp the next wave rhythm.
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【Daily】
Trend: The daily line has retraced from the yearly high of 3,437, testing the 50MA (approximately 2,370) for support, and is currently consolidating between the 10MA (2,575) and 20MA (2,517). The current RSI is about 60, and the MACD histogram is slightly converging, indicating that while bullish momentum has weakened, it has not yet broken down; overall leaning towards a consolidating bullish pattern, with key resistance at 2788→2880 and support at 2370→2125.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,381 (turns bearish if below 50MA)
🟢 Add Long: 2,575 (10MA), 2,517 (20MA), 2,488 (final support, already triggered)✅
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2,880
🎯 Take Profit: 3,186 → 3,684 → 4,182
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【4 Hours】
Trend: The 4H trend sharply turned bearish around 2788 without any retracement, currently having broken below the 20EMA (approximately 2,569) and the 50EMA (approximately 2,570). The MACD has turned negative, the RSI is dropping towards around 40, and the lower BB is approximately 2,460, indicating a clear bearish trend; a short-term rebound may occur at the 200EMA (approximately 2,378) and the lower BB area.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Moving Stop Loss: 2,381 (turns bearish if below 50MA/200EMA)
🟢 Add Long: 2,460 (lower BB, already triggered)✅, 2,388 (200EMA)
🚀 Breakout Follow Long: 2,880
🎯 Take Profit: 2,600 → 2,788 → 3,186
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【1 Hour】
Trend: After a sharp drop, the MACD red bars have increased, the RSI has entered oversold (<30), and the lower BB is approximately 2,450, indicating a high probability of a rebound in the short term; if the price rebounds to the 20EMA (approximately 2,658) and then falls back again, one can continue to short.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 2,658 (turns bullish if above 20EMA)
🟢 Add Short: 2,524 (first resistance, already triggered)✅, 2,460 (lower BB), 2,420 (200EMA)
🚨 Breakout Follow Short: 2,420
🎯 Take Profit: 2,389 → 2,323 → 2,125
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【Strategy Summary】
⚠️ Operation Suggestions:
1. During the day, one can scale into long positions in the 2,460–2,388 range, strictly set a stop loss at 2,381;
2. In the short term, pay attention to rebounds in the 2,458–2,420 range, if it rises back to 2,658 without breaking, continue to short, with the same stop loss;
3. If the price breaks above 2,880, shift to a bullish mindset, target 3,186/3,684.
Stay flexible, prioritize risk control, and seize trading opportunities in large fluctuations!
