$BTC Dear friends aaj PPI ka data release hua hai! PPI yani Producer Price Index yeh batata hai ke producers ko apne goods banane ke liye kitna cost aa raha hai. Agar PPI zyada hota hai, toh iska matlab hai ke production cost barh rahi hai — jo baad mein consumers tak higher prices ki form mein pass on ho sakti hai. Matlab yeh inflation ka early indicator hota hai.
PPI m/m (Month-on-Month):
Yeh monthly basis par dekha jata hai ke producers ke liye prices kitne change hue. Iska direct asar consumer inflation par baad mein padta hai.
PPI y/y (Year-on-Year):
Yeh annual basis par producer prices ka trend dikhata hai. Agar yeh consistently barhta rahe, toh consumer inflation bhi upar ja sakta hai.
Core PPI (MoM & YoY):
Isme food aur energy exclude kiye jate hain — yeh volatile hote hain. Core PPI se underlying inflation trend ka andaza hota hai.
PPI Data (Expected & Actual):
US PPI m/m:
Expected: 0.2%
Actual: 0.1%
US PPI y/y:
Expected: 2.6%
Actual: 2.6%
Core PPI (MoM & YoY):
Dono readings better-than-expected aayi hain.
Aaj ka PPI data market ke liye positive hai. Headline PPI m/m sirf 0.1% aaya hai jab ke forecast 0.2% tha — iska matlab yeh hai ke producer-level price pressure limited hai. Yearly PPI 2.6% par raha jo exactly forecast ke barabar hai, yani ke expected trajectory par hai.
Sabse important point yeh hai ke Core PPI — jo food aur energy ko hata ke calculate hota hai — dono monthly aur yearly basis par better-than-expected aaya hai. Yeh batata hai ke underlying cost pressure slow ho raha hai.
Filhal data yeh nahi dikha raha ke US-China tariffs ka koi inflationary impact aya ho. Lekin agar trade tensions barhte hain, toh aane wale mahino mein yeh inflation indicators phir se upar ja sakte hain. Abhi ke liye yeh data Fed ke liye ek relief hai, aur market sentiment ko support karta hai — specially risk-on assets ke liye.
