🔍 Current situation:
Bitcoin is hovering around $108,000. It eased a bit after the jump to $110K, but there is no panic. It seems that right now, it’s like a dog before a jump: standing, sniffing the air, and deciding where to run.
📅 Forecast for today:
Price range — $107–112K. If the markets receive any good news (for example, someone invests a few hundred million in an ETF), we might rise. If not — it will be a slow walk along the curb. A break below $107K is also possible, but it currently seems unlikely.
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📆 Forecast until the end of 2025:
🔺 Optimistic scenario:
Institutions continue to buy BTC through ETFs
The US and other major players are not choking crypto
And then we see $150–200K, or maybe even more — analysts do not rule out $230K
🔻 Pessimistic scenario:
The Fed is not lowering rates
Regulators are starting to apply pressure
People are starting to sell
And then — a pullback to $80–100K
⚖️ Most likely scenario:
Gradual growth amid ETF interest
No 'moon rocket', but steady movement towards $150–180K throughout 2025
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📌 Factors currently influencing:
1. ETF money — the main driver. As soon as millions come in — the price comes alive.
2. The Fed and rates — if they start to lower, it’s a plus for all risk assets, including BTC.
3. News from the SEC and politics — here, any word can either spark a rally or kill enthusiasm.
4. The behavior of major players — for example, the US already has over 200,000 BTC on its balance. If they start to use them wisely — it will be interesting.
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🧠 Summary:
Bitcoin is currently in 'watching where the crowd goes' mode. Important decisions are still ahead. But it is already clear that the main driver is institutional money. If the flow does not stop — we will see new highs. And if they start to sell off — be prepared to catch good prices below.
The scenario for 2025 — $150–200K looks quite realistic, provided there are no serious global shocks.
