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Analysts Warn: Expiring Trump Tariff Truce & Mideast Conflict May Push U.S. Summer CPI to 4% Bloomberg Economics analysts warn of a perfect storm for inflation as two critical risks converge: 1. Tariff Time Bomb • Trump-era tariff suspensions set to expire soon • Potential revival of reciprocal tariffs on $300B+ goods • Could disrupt global trade flows, reignite trade wars 2. Middle East Oil Shock • Escalating conflicts risk $130+/barrel oil (vs current ~$85) • Every $10 oil price rise adds 0.4% to U.S. CPI • Summer driving season may amplify gasoline price spikes Inflation Fallout Projected impacts: 🔥 CPI nearing 4% by August (vs current 3.3%) 🦅 Fed rate cuts delayed until December or 2025 📉 Consumer spending squeeze from dual energy/tariff hits Market Implications: • Energy stocks rallying preemptively • Treasury yields creeping higher • Fed watch tools now price just 1.25 cuts in 2024 The Big Picture: This presents policymakers with a trilemma—contain inflation, avoid recession, and manage election-year politics. With Trump proposing new tariffs and Biden limited on oil reserves, markets face heightened volatility ahead.
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Choosing the Best Blockchain for DApp Development in 2025 The rapid growth of decentralized applications (DApps) has made selecting the right blockchain a critical decision for developers. With over 21,000 DApps across 75+ blockchains, the choice depends on security, scalability, cost, and ecosystem maturity. Top Blockchain Options Ethereum – The most secure and widely adopted platform, ideal for DeFi and complex smart contracts. High gas fees remain an issue, but Layer 2 solutions (e.g., Arbitrum, Optimism) improve scalability. Polygon (PoS & zkEVM) – A cost-effective Ethereum-compatible scaling solution, perfect for NFT and gaming DApps. Solana – High-speed (65,000 TPS) and low-cost, but faces concerns over network stability and decentralization. BNB Smart Chain (BSC) – EVM-compatible with low fees, though criticized for centralization risks. Emerging Chains (Avalanche, Sui, TON) – Offer niche advantages (e.g., parallel processing, social integration) but have smaller ecosystems. Key Considerations Security & decentralization? → Ethereum. Low cost & speed? → Polygon or Solana. Early-stage experimentation? → Try Avalanche or Sui. Conclusion Ethereum and Polygon remain the safest choices for most DApps, while Solana and BSC suit high-performance needs. The future is multi-chain, so interoperability and developer support should also guide decisions.
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Trump Slams Fed Chair Powell, Urges Immediate Rate Cuts Former U.S. President Donald Trump has once again criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Truth Social, demanding aggressive interest rate cuts. Trump argued that lowering rates by 1-2 percentage points could save the U.S. up to $1 trillion annually in debt costs. He accused Powell of being too slow to act, dubbing him "Mr. Too Late," and questioned why the Fed refuses to cut rates despite low inflation. Trump also hinted at replacing Powell but noted no immediate action since Powell’s term ends in 2026. The Fed, however, held rates steady at 4.25%-4.50% in its June meeting, citing data-driven decisions over political pressure. Market expectations for rate cuts have been pushed to late 2025 due to inflation risks from tariffs and oil price shocks. Trump plans to announce his Fed chair pick soon, adding uncertainty to future monetary policy.
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Will X (Twitter) Embrace Crypto? Analyzing Musk’s "Super App" Ambitions Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) is evolving into a financial "super app," with plans to integrate payments, investing, and trading. Given Musk’s pro-crypto stance—endorsing Bitcoin and Dogecoin—many expect X to eventually support digital assets. However, regulatory hurdles in the U.S. may delay full crypto integration, possibly starting with stablecoins or licensed custodians. For users, adoption hinges on trust (security breaches remain a concern), ease of use (seamless in-app transactions), and incentives (lower fees or exclusive assets). To compete with PayPal and Robinhood, X must leverage its social ecosystem—think real-time stock/crypto trading tied to trends or creator-driven tokenized rewards. Success depends on balancing innovation with compliance, ensuring stability, and convincing users to view X as both a social network and financial hub. If executed well, X could redefine fintech—but only if it overcomes skepticism and regulatory friction.
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Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Trigger Sell-Off as Market Eyes Potential Bottom Near $94K–$97K Recent on-chain data reveals that short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders have been offloading significant amounts of BTC at a loss, contributing to increased market volatility. Analysts suggest this panic selling could signal a nearing price bottom, with key support levels forming between $94,000 and $97,000. Short-Term Holders Drive Selling Pressure According to CryptoQuant, short-term holders (STH) – those who held BTC for less than six months – sold approximately 15,000 BTC this week. The selling intensified as Bitcoin’s price dropped from $106,500 to $103,500, with 16,700 BTC moved to exchanges on Wednesday alone. This behavior highlights STHs’ tendency to react emotionally to price dips, often liquidating positions at a loss rather than holding through downturns. Glassnode data further indicates that STH supply has declined, particularly after sharp corrections. While this suggests weaker hands are exiting the market, it also creates accumulation opportunities for long-term investors (LTHs), who continue to buy the dip. Key Support Levels and Market Sentiment Analysts at Swissblock note that Bitcoin is currently trading in a "market blind spot," with spot trading volumes remaining negative since June 2025. The $94,000–$97,000 range is seen as a critical support zone, aligning with STH cost basis and historical demand levels. If BTC stabilizes here, it could form a local bottom before a potential rebound. However, if selling pressure persists and the price breaks below $94,000, the next major support could be near $92,000. Conversely, a recovery above $97,000 might signal renewed bullish momentum. Long-Term Holders Absorb the Sell-Off Despite short-term volatility, long-term holders (LTHs) remain unfazed, continuing to accumulate BTC at lower prices. This divergence between STH panic selling and LTH accumulation suggests that the current downturn may be a temporary correction rather than a long-term bearish reversal.
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