🚨 Is Bitcoin entering its final euphoric phase before a deep correction?
According to a growing number of technical analysts using Elliott Wave Theory, BTC might be about to peak in the $120K–$125K zone—followed by a sharp correction that could bring prices back to $50,000 by 2026.
📊 Elliott Wave Theory: The Road to Wave 5
Since the 2017 peak and 2018 crash, Bitcoin has been riding a powerful five-wave macro cycle:
Wave 1: Post-2018 bottom rally
Wave 2: COVID crash consolidation
Wave 3: Bull run to the 2021 all-time high
Wave 4: Bear market and 2022 bottom
Wave 5 (now unfolding): The final euphoric wave
Wave 5 is often irrationally bullish, driven by hype, FOMO, and late entrants. In this scenario, BTC may test the $120K–$125K range as the final surge completes.
🔼 $125K Target Zone: Multiple Signals Converge
📌 The $125,000 area isn’t just a psychological barrier—it’s where several technical indicators converge:
Long-term trendline resistance from 2017, 2021, and projected 2025
Fibonacci extension at 122,069 USD
Historically proven blow-off top pattern in final Elliott waves
This zone is being highlighted by traders as a strong take-profit opportunity.
⚠️ The Bearish Setup: ABC Correction Ahead?
Following the five-wave impulse, Elliott Wave Theory expects an ABC corrective structure—a three-part decline often lasting several months or even years.
Analysts predict:
A ~60% correction
Targeting $50,000
Between late 2025 and early 2026
While this is milder than the 87% crashes of 2018 and 2021, it still marks a massive shift in sentiment and valuation.
💬 What Traders Should Consider
🟢 If BTC nears $120K–$125K:
Watch for overbought signals
Consider taking profits or using stop-losses
Be cautious of euphoric news cycles and retail frenzy
🔴 If BTC begins the ABC correction:
Expect volatility and sharp dips
Look for re-entry opportunities around key support levels, such as $50K
Monitor macro trends, ETF flows, and regulatory headlines
🧠 Final Thoughts
> “History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes.”
Bitcoin’s cycles have followed Elliott Wave structures closely in the past. While no method guarantees the future, this analysis offers a compelling roadmap.
Whether you're long-term bullish or a short-term swing trader, being prepared is better than being surprised. The final wave may offer massive profits—but only to those who also plan for the storm that follows.
📌 Do you think Bitcoin will hit $125K before crashing to $50K? Let us know in the comments below.
📊 Stay sharp. Trade smart.
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