Bitcoin Supercycle: Altseason Isn’t Here Yet — But It’s Coming

Let’s set the record straight: altseason hasn’t started yet. If you feel like you missed out, don’t worry — you didn’t miss the boat. The truth is, liquidity hasn’t shifted in favor of altcoins, yet.

Let’s break it down with the data:

Bitcoin (BTC) has smashed its all-time highs more than once.

BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is hitting multi-year highs.

Crypto is back in the global spotlight.

But when it comes to altcoins, they’re still on the sidelines.

This isn’t altseason — it’s pre-distribution.

Why is Bitcoin still dominating the space?

The answer is simple: this cycle is being driven by institutional money, not retail. Large players are accumulating Bitcoin on a massive scale for adoption and treasury purposes.

The US government holds Bitcoin.

Public companies are stacking BTC.

Sovereign wealth funds are paying attention.

Regulations are slowly but surely paving the way.

Bitcoin is no longer just a trade — it’s turning into global digital infrastructure.

Meanwhile, altcoins are bleeding out.

Why?

Token unlocks are flooding the market with supply.

No new retail inflows to support them.

Weak narratives and lack of momentum.

The smart money is only focused on BTC right now.

BTC has become the “safe” risk in the macro environment, while altcoins are seen as higher-beta, riskier plays. Capital hasn’t rotated yet.

When does altseason actually begin?

Here’s the typical pattern:

BTC tops out.

Retail can’t afford to buy anymore.

Investors start looking for higher-ROI plays.

Strong narratives take hold.

BTC.D (dominance) begins to fall rapidly.

Altcoins start to soar.

We’ve seen this before, and it plays out in variations each cycle. Historically, altseason usually kicks off 12–15 months after the Bitcoin halving — which brings us to a window between Q3 2025 and Q4 2025.

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