U.S. Civil Unrest Meets CPI Nuclear Bomb! BTC 110,000 Defensive Battle Enters Countdown
1. Federal vs. California Clash! Musk Faces Trump's Ban, Crypto Becomes a Safe Haven for Funds?
Last night’s big news: Trump’s iron-fist crackdown on California immigrants, with over 2,000 arrests in a single day, and the National Guard moving into Los Angeles for a cleanup! Even more severe, Trump publicly warned Musk's 'American Party' not to stir trouble, leading to a complete rift between the two giants. This kind of full-scale confrontation between federal and state government can only be compared to the eve of the Civil War in history — a political black swan directly pulling momentum, with BTC as the global hard currency inevitably attracting safe-haven funds pouring in!
2. BTC Market Shows 'Golden Pit' as Main Players' Washing Phase Nears End
Last week's script was nearly perfect: the 50-day moving average precisely retested 100,000 dollars, a deep V reversal surged by 9%, and 70% of floating chips completed their turnover. The washout by the market manipulators deserves full marks! The current market situation is a textbook-level 'consolidation build-up' — sideways trading during the day, spike and liquidation at midnight, and a 4-hour level firmly holding the 103,000-107,000 fluctuation box.
But beware! Matrixport's trend model has issued a warning: BTC is bullish if it holds above the upper limit of 106,000, but turns bearish if it falls below the lower limit of 104,000, with clear mid to long-term channel support. Personal opinion: 100,000 dollars is the iron bottom; dare to smash, dare to gamble!
3. Wednesday's CPI Determines Life and Death! Thousand Dollar Spike Alert
Everyone keep an eye on the U.S. CPI data on June 12 at 20:30 (expected 4.8%):
Below expectation: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September soars to 58%, BTC directly charges towards 110,000 dollars, altcoin season kicks off.
Above expectation: The main players will likely take the opportunity to crash the market, and the probability of a second retest at 100,000 dollars is high.
Historical reference: After April's CPI cooled, BTC rose for 6 consecutive days; this time the script may be even more explosive. But warning: the moment the data is released, fluctuations will be at least 1,000 dollars, so those playing contracts should reduce leverage in advance!
Operation Strategy
Mid to Long Term: Blindly invest in the 100,000-105,000 range, stop loss if it falls below 98,000 (less than 5% probability).
Short-term traders: Buy low at 103,000, sell high at 107,000, with a 500-dollar trailing stop profit.
Nuclear Bomb Moment: Clear positions and watch for an hour before CPI release, after spike, open a reverse position to catch the wave.
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