#USChinaTradeTalks

The numbers that change everything

The OECD has just slashed its forecasts for US economic growth: from 2.8% in 2024 to a measly 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026. This is not just a statistical correction, it is a signal of a possible fundamental shift.

This is especially painful: at the beginning of the year, the organization's experts predicted a 2.2% increase in 2025. But Trump's "Liberation Day" with his tariff war changed everything. Minus 0.6 percentage points in three months is not a margin of error, it is a wake—up call.