$BTC on macroeconomics
📈 1. Inflation (CPI, PCE)
📊 Data below expectations → the market anticipates rate cuts → BTC growth 🚀
📊 Data above expectations → the Fed may tighten policy → pressure on BTC 📉
🧠 Important: Watch not just the number, but also the 'core' inflation
💰 2. Fed Rates (Federal Funds Rate / FOMC)
📉 Pause or rate cut → increased interest in risk assets (including BTC)
📈 Rate hike / hawkish tone → capital outflow to the dollar, BTC falls
📣 Follow Powell's press conference: the market reacts to nuances
📉 3. Labor Market (Non-Farm Payrolls, unemployment)
💼 Weak report → likelihood of policy easing ↑ → BTC ↑
💼 Strong report → expectations of tightening → BTC ↓
⚠️ Leading indicators: jobless claims, ADP
🏦 4. General Statements from the Fed, Treasury, SEC
🗣 Soft (dovish) tone → positive for crypto
🗣 Hard (hawkish) or negative comments about crypto → risk of decline
📌 How to use:
Set reminders for publication dates (CPI, FOMC, NFP, etc.)
Before the release — reduce risk (if you're speculating)
After — watch for impulses and confirmation of levels