#TrumpTariffs
📅 Key Inflation Dates
🧾 CPI (May) – 📅 Wed, June 11, 2025 at 8:30 ET
🏭 PPI (May) – 📅 Thu, June 12, 2025 at 8:30 ET
🔍 Why Markets Care
💸 CPI
A higher-than-expected CPI 📈 (persistent inflation) → 📊 bond yields & 💵 USD rise → 📉 stocks fall = Bearish 🐻
A lower CPI 🧊 (cooling inflation) → 😌 easing rate-hike fears → 📈 stocks rally = Bullish 🐂
🏷️ PPI
Seen as a leading indicator →
Strong PPI 🔥 = more inflation pressure → bearish for stocks 🐻
Weak PPI 🌧️ = cooling inflation → bullish for equities 🐂
🔄 Market Context
📊 Markets have been rallying into the data
💼 Strong jobs data + 💪 earnings = optimism
⚠️ But inflation prints remain high-stakes:
🧨 Nov–Dec CPI days caused sharp Nasdaq-100 swings
🌀 PPI prints typically lower impact but still saw ~1.9% average moves recently
🎯 Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
This week’s data is crucial 🔎. Here's how it may play out:
📈 If CPI & PPI come in hot (CPI > 0.3%, PPI > 0.2–0.5%):
→ 😬 Fed hawkish fears return
→ 📉 Stocks dip, 🧾 bonds rally, 💵 USD strengthens → Bearish 🐻
📉 If CPI and/or PPI come in soft:
→ 🕊️ Rate cut hopes get stronger
→ 📈 Stocks gain, 📉 bonds sell off, 💵 USD weakens → Bullish 🐂
📊 Most forecasts:
CPI ~0.2–0.3%
PPI ~0.2%
➡️ So even slightly cooler prints could boost sentiment 📣
✅ What You Can Do
🕒 Watch the news around 18:30 PKT:
📅 Tue (CPI)
📅 Wed (PPI)
🧠 Key actionables:
🧊 Weak print → 📥 Buy dips in indexes or cyclical sectors
🔥 Strong print → 🔄 Rotate into defensive plays (utilities 🏡, staples 🛒)
🧭 Final Word
This week’s inflation data = potential market catalyst 🎇
Could extend the bull trend 🐂
Or trigger a tactical pullback 🐻
📌 Market is betting on moderate inflation holding
🔄 But any upside surprise → sharper reaction likely 📉
