Recently, many people have lost money in contracts 💰

, so I want to talk about the current financial market, hoping to help everyone clarify their thoughts. In the past two days, #BTC has been rising slowly, and many people think it will drop, but I don't see it as that simple. The data shows that the profit-taking on BTC has reached a historical high, but there aren't many coins available for sale in the market, leading to a lack of liquidity. In other words, no one is willing to sell at a low price, and there aren't enough chips to push the market down. Unless a black swan suddenly appears, like a regulatory crackdown or a global economic meltdown, the likelihood of a significant drop in BTC is low. The demand exceeds supply, so the price naturally holds up.

Since Trump took office, he has pushed tariffs, tax cuts, and interest rate reductions, the "three axes." Tariffs sound quite alarming and may shake the market a bit, but tax cuts and interest rate reductions are real positives, especially for risk assets like BTC and U.S. stocks. I see that the market still has a positive attitude towards the "Trump trade," and the dollar and U.S. stocks are likely to continue rising. In the coming period, the positives should outweigh the negatives.

As for U.S. stocks, global economists—including big names like Buffett and Soros—are almost unanimously bearish, feeling that they should offload stocks and hoard cash. However, I always feel they somewhat underestimate the power of AI. The AI digital economy is now taking off, productivity is rapidly increasing, and tech companies have already driven U.S. stocks to new highs. This momentum is likely to spread to industries like manufacturing and energy. Therefore, it would not be surprising if U.S. stocks hit new highs again; overall, American assets should still see significant gains. As for the U.S. debt crisis? That is still far off.

What to do about investing? I feel that BTC can still be bullish in the short term, and one can keep an eye on ETF capital inflows and global risk sentiment.