1️⃣ Market Structure TA (CHoCH, BOS, HL, HH, LL, LH)
Daily (1D)
Structure: Bullish
Recent BOS → Near $100K (break of prior LH)
CHoCH → Occurred in early April with strong bullish BOS > 86K.
Recent HL → ~$96K
Recent HH → ~$112K
Currently pulling back, holding above previous HL → Structure remains intact.
4H
Micro-CHoCH → Printed on June 6th post-drop + rebound from ~$100K zone.
Recent HL → ~$102K
Recent HH → ~$112K
Market moving sideways → Potential accumulation just under key resistance.
30M (Intraday)
V-shaped recovery post-sharp dip → Strong demand reaction around $100K–$102K.
Micro-HL and HH → Building bullish micro-structure.
Recent LL → $99.8K (clean liquidity sweep).
Momentum higher but resistance ~ $105.5K zone active.
2️⃣ Supply / Demand Zones + OB + FVG
Daily Supply:
$111K–$113K zone → Untested Supply OB from May top.
Daily Demand:
$96K–$99K zone → Recent strong demand reaction + OB + FVG fill.
4H Key Zones:
Supply OB → $107K–$109K → Heavy rejection on last attempt.
Demand OB → $100K–$102.5K → Proven reaction + liquidity sweep.
30M FVG:
Small FVG (imbalance) → $103.8K–$104.6K → potential retrace target.
Small upside FVG → $105.8K–$106.5K → may attract short-term price action.
3️⃣ Full Trade Setup — with R:R
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Zone: $104.2K–$104.8K pullback (FVG fill)
Stop Loss (SL): $102.4K → Below 4H Demand OB + local structure.
Take Profit (TP1): $107.8K → Near 4H Supply.
TP2 (Extended): $110.5K–$112K → Daily Supply/OB test.
R:R ≈ 2.5–3.2
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Short Entry: $107K–$108.5K (4H Supply tap)
SL: $110.8K → Above prior HH wick.
TP1: $104.5K → FVG fill.
TP2: $102.5K → Demand retest.
R:R ≈ 2.8–3.5
4️⃣ Volume & Momentum Insights
Daily → Decreasing volume on the recent pullback → Suggesting lack of seller commitment.
4H → Spike in volume during $100K recovery → Strong demand confirmed.
30M → Healthy rising volume on the recent rally from $102K to $105K.
Momentum:
Short-term momentum turning bullish after liquidity sweep.
Higher timeframe momentum remains strong while above $96K–$99K.
5️⃣ Overall Bias
➡️ Bullish Bias — with caution at $107K–$109K Supply zone.
➡️ Reasoning:
Strong higher-timeframe bullish structure intact.
Recent liquidity sweep + V-shaped recovery.
Momentum + Demand zones validated.
However, lower timeframes show potential distribution under Supply → watch reaction at $107K–$109K.
6️⃣ Pro Tips
✅ Tip 1: Don’t chase breakouts above $106K–$107K without pullback confirmation. Supply zone is stacked.
✅ Tip 2: Watch $104.5K–$105K intraday → Ideal area for low-risk long re-entries.
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