$BTC #BTC
*BTC/USDT 1H Chart
1. Price Trend:
Current price: 104,131.62 USDT
Just had a strong rebound from the bottom 100,372.26 → up more than 3.7%.
Nearest resistance: MA(99) at 104,624 → price is testing this area.
Nearest support: MA(7) = 103,600 and MA(25) = 103,007.
=> Short-term trend: Technical rebound, but approaching the resistance area.
2. Technical Indicators:
* MA (Moving Average)
MA(7) > MA(25) → short-term bullish signal.
MA(99) is covering above, not broken through yet → significant price barrier.
* MACD
Positive MACD histogram, bars are increasing → strong upward momentum.
MACD line crosses above the Signal line → Buy signal.
* RSI (6): 84.22
RSI exceeds 80 → overbought, warning of potential correction.
However, there are no signs of bearish divergence → not a strong reversal yet.
* Stochastic KDJ
K = 92.99, D = 90.22, J = 98.54 → All are overbought.
Warning that price may consolidate or make slight corrections before continuing to rise.
3.Trading Strategy
– Long: continue the upward trend
Entry: 103.800 – 104.000 USDT (waiting for retest of MA7)
TP1: 104.650 (MA99)
TP2: 105.200 (nearest peak)
SL: 103.300 (below MA25 + nearest support area)
Risk: high due to RSI being overbought → should manage capital tightly.
– Short-term short at the technical peak
Entry: 104.600 – 104.800 (when price is rejected at MA99)
TP1: 103.800 (MA7)
TP2: 103.000 (MA25)
SL: 105.200 (nearest peak)
- Risk: medium. Short against the technical upward trend → prioritize scalp or early TP.
-SPOT
If you want to hold long-term or swing, you should wait for the price to make a slight correction to strong support.
Entry: 102.500 – 103.200 USDT
TP1: 105.200
TP2: 107.000 (if breakout occurs)
SL: 100.200