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June 6, 2025 SOLV technical analysis
📊 Core trend judgment: Bears dominate, but key support levels face a decisive battle
Daily level (key trend)
Price structure:
Recently fluctuating in the range of 0.04000-0.05000, but closed down -1.92% on June 6, with a closing price of 0.04196 close to the lower edge of the range.
Key support: 0.04100-0.04000 (multiple rebound points from February to March, psychological threshold).
Key resistance: 0.04500 (recent high), 0.04850 (May resistance level).
Momentum indicators:
MACD: Daily DIF and DEA dead cross below the zero axis, green bars expand, bearish momentum strengthens.
RSI: positioned around 40 (not oversold), still has downside space.
Daily conclusion: If it breaks below 0.04100, it may accelerate down to 0.03500; if it holds support with volume, it may rebound to test 0.04500.
⏰ Hourly level (short-term trading signal)
Price behavior:
Closed at 0.04196 on June 6 at 15:00, short-term narrow fluctuation between 0.04187-0.04215 (amplitude only 0.67%), showing a downward continuation pattern.
Descending channel: May 18 high 0.04859 → June 6 low 0.04187, the slope is moderate but has not broken.
Bull-bear negotiation point:
Weak support: 0.04180 (recent low)
Strong support: 0.04000 (daily level threshold)
Resistance: 0.04250 (Hourly MA30), 0.04300 (previous high)
Hourly conclusion: If the rebound cannot break 0.04250, then the downtrend continues; breaking through 0.04300 can be seen as a short-term bullish.
📉 Key risk warning
Insufficient volume:
Hourly amplitude continues to narrow (latest only 0.67%), indicating strong market wait-and-see sentiment, need to be wary of the direction of change.
Divergence signal:
Hourly price hits a new low (0.04187), but RSI did not hit a new low, indicating a bottom divergence prototype; if it rebounds with volume, it can validate the signal.
External correlation:
SOLV's recent correlation with BTC has reached 0.85, need to pay close attention to whether BTC can hold the $70,000 support.
💡 Operation strategy recommendations
Conservative (right-side trading)
Buying conditions:
Hourly breakout of 0.04300 and stabilize;
Daily closing recovers 0.04500 (confirms trend reversal).
Stop loss: below 0.04000 (exit if broken).
Aggressive (left-side speculation)
Bounce area: 0.04100-0.04000 range to build positions in batches.
Stop loss: 0.03950 (strictly prevent breaking risks).
Target: 0.04500 (arbitrage space +9.7%).
🚨 Ultimate warning: Two breaking scenarios to respond to
Break below the daily closing price <0.04000 immediately stop loss, target 0.035
Upward reversal, hourly line continuously stabilizes at 0.043, increase positions to chase more, target 0.048
📌 Summary
SOLV is currently at a critical bull-bear point:
Maintaining above 0.04100 → expected to rebound from support, target +10%;
Breaking 0.04000 → may trigger panic selling, drop of -15%.
It is recommended to closely monitor the market, using the hourly volume direction as the basis for operations!
