Current price: 104.529 USDT
24h volatility: -0.78%
🧠 Multi-timeframe technical summary:
• 15m – 1h timeframe: RSI approaches the oversold zone, with a potential short-term recovery if it exceeds MA(7). However, buying pressure is still weak.
• 4h – 1d timeframe: The medium-term trend is still clearly declining. OBV and MACD are deeply negative, indicating that selling pressure still prevails.
💡 Spot trading strategy (medium – long term):
⛔ Temporarily not recommending Spot Buy, as the correction trend still prevails.
📌 Wait for confirmation signals at stronger support levels (below 103.000), along with RSI creating positive divergence before considering Buy.
🎯 Prioritize observation, do not rush to invest.
⚔️ Futures trading strategy (short – medium term):
✅ Long scenario (short-term – probability 55–60%)
• Entry: When RSI(6) exceeds 40 and price breaks MA(7) on the 15m or 1h timeframe (≈104.800).
• SL: Below the nearest low 104.179
• TP: Zone 105.600–105.900
• Activation condition: Volume increases along with price exceeding MA(7).
✅ Short scenario (medium-term – probability 60–65%)
• Entry: If BTC breaks the support level 103.068 (the nearest low on the 4h timeframe).
• SL: Above 104.000
• TP: Around 101.800–102.200
• Activation condition: OBV continues to be negative and MACD shows no signs of positive divergence.
⚠️ Risk warning:
• MACD and OBV are both deeply negative across all 4 timeframes → The market still leans towards decline.
• Absolutely do not trade if the price is in the accumulation zone 105.200–105.600 (high noise).
• Strictly adhere to a Risk–Reward ratio ≥ 1:2.
✅ Overall success probability:
• Short-term Long: 55–60%
• Medium-term Short: 60–65%
