1. The essence of the cryptocurrency space: an emotionally driven cognitive battlefield

The cryptocurrency space is not a 'parallel world' to traditional finance, but a game of 'cognitive disparity harvesting'.


  • Law of Counterintuitive:
    ✅ Short-term price fluctuations are determined by 'stories': A certain AI concept coin surged 500% based solely on a white paper sketch, with a project progress of 0, yet retail investors took the plunge
    ✅ Fund flows > Project value: In 2024, a certain MEME coin exceeded the market value of leading DeFi protocols, only because the community was aggressively promoting it

  • Newcomer traps: Viewing the cryptocurrency space with 'stock trading thinking', focusing on financial reports and K-lines while neglecting 'hot narrative', often becomes the 'last baton' to take over

2. Technical Analysis: Tools ≠ Weapons, Structure > Indicators

  • Deadly Misunderstandings:
    ❌ Superstitious of 'Golden Cross Must Rise': BTC plummeted 15% the day after a MACD golden cross appeared in December 2024 (market makers harvested in reverse)
    ❌ Obsessed with 'Bottom Indicators': Retail investors enter based on RSI being oversold, unaware that market makers can render indicators 'invalid' for weeks

  • Advanced Thinking:
    ✅ First determine the cycle: Use 'weekly charts to see trends + daily charts to set the rhythm', avoid blindly 'bottom fishing' in a bear market
    ✅ Then observe the funds: Monitor whale address flows through Glassnode; when whales reduce holdings for 7 consecutive days, any indicators are 'baiting longs'

3. Ultimate Cultivation: Emotional Control > All Techniques

  • Newbie Death Cycle:

    1. Seeing a certain coin surge → Chasing to buy (afraid of missing out)

    2. Plummeting 5% → Panic selling (afraid of deep losses)

    3. Selling leads to rebound → Anxiety of missing out → Chasing again
      Data: Binance user research shows that frequent traders have an annualized loss rate of 89%, while users who remain out of the market for more than 60% of the time have a higher probability of making profits.

  • Expert Survival Rules:
    ✅ No Position DisciplineWhen the market has been sideways for over 2 weeks and the hot spots are chaotic, enforce a no position (waiting for a 'clear trend')
    ✅ Emotional Anchor Points:

    • Profit exceeds 20% → Immediately withdraw 50% of profits to bank account (break the illusion of digital wealth)

    • Daily loss exceeds 5% → Close trading software, do not operate within 24 hours

4. Three 'Don'ts' Advice for Newcomers

Mistaken behavior replacement strategy case analysis: Chasing hot coins focusing on 'high consensus coins' (BTC/ETH). A certain metaverse coin surged 10 times and then went to zero, leading retail investors to lose everything. Full warehouse betting using 'pyramid strategy' (10% drop adds 20% position). When BTC plummeted 30% in 2025, the cost for gradual investors was 18% lower than those who fully bet. Following 'signal groups' to verify messages with 'on-chain data' (like large transactions on etherscan). A certain community's signal of 'institutional accumulation' was actually a trap before market makers offloaded.


Conclusion: The core formula for making money in the cryptocurrency space is 'Cognitive Depth × Emotional Stability'. Before newcomers enter the market, ask themselves three questions:

  1. Can I bear the risk of 'principal going to zero'?

  2. Am I willing to spend more than 3 months researching the 'essence of the industry'?

  3. Can I manage to 'stay out of the market for 1 continuous month' waiting for opportunities?


If the answers are all 'can', then enter the market with 'rationality'. Remember: This market is never short of 'short-term profit seekers', but those who survive to the end are always the 'rationalists' who are 'anti-emotional'.

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