Quýt Nè
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Bullish
IS THERE A TRAP GOING ON?
The rich are not stupid - If they were stupid, they wouldn't be rich!
🗒 POSSIBLE SCENARIO
1. James gets liquidated with a huge long position → creates a market effect of "crashing", retail rushes to short.
2. James goes back to long, setting the liquidation price close to the current price → intentionally creating a feeling of "about to be liquidated again" to lure more shorts.
3. Institutions quietly accumulate when the price is sideways or slightly decreases to the range of 102800–103200.
4. When the short volume is large enough, BTC suddenly pumps strongly:
- Breaks 105k → triggers a short squeeze.
- Pushes the price sequentially through 110k → 115k → 120k.
5. Retail shorts get liquidated en masse, institutions exit at the peak, ending the perfect trap.
📌 Technical indicators supporting
- Funding rate is gradually trending negative → a sign many people are shorting.
- OI (Open Interest) is increasing again → but the price does not decrease correspondingly → bullish divergence between OI and price, fitting with short trap.
- The price fluctuates for hours around 103500–104000 without further dumping → may be getting supported covertly.
- The liquidity zones above 107k, 110k, and 120k are still intact, making them easy targets for stop hunting by short sellers.
📌 In terms of market psychology:
- After the whales get liquidated → retail often has extreme confidence that "it will still drop heavily".
- But in reality, "the largest liquidations often mark the bottom", as it absorbs all the necessary liquidity for institutions to buy in.
Be cautious when investing, I do not encourage you to long, nor do I discourage you from shorting, but whether long or short, remember to place your SL below support and above resistance.
This is a theoretical reference, not an investment call.
The rich are not stupid - If they were stupid, they wouldn't be rich!
🗒 POSSIBLE SCENARIO
1. James gets liquidated with a huge long position → creates a market effect of "crashing", retail rushes to short.
2. James goes back to long, setting the liquidation price close to the current price → intentionally creating a feeling of "about to be liquidated again" to lure more shorts.
3. Institutions quietly accumulate when the price is sideways or slightly decreases to the range of 102800–103200.
4. When the short volume is large enough, BTC suddenly pumps strongly:
- Breaks 105k → triggers a short squeeze.
- Pushes the price sequentially through 110k → 115k → 120k.
5. Retail shorts get liquidated en masse, institutions exit at the peak, ending the perfect trap.
📌 Technical indicators supporting
- Funding rate is gradually trending negative → a sign many people are shorting.
- OI (Open Interest) is increasing again → but the price does not decrease correspondingly → bullish divergence between OI and price, fitting with short trap.
- The price fluctuates for hours around 103500–104000 without further dumping → may be getting supported covertly.
- The liquidity zones above 107k, 110k, and 120k are still intact, making them easy targets for stop hunting by short sellers.
📌 In terms of market psychology:
- After the whales get liquidated → retail often has extreme confidence that "it will still drop heavily".
- But in reality, "the largest liquidations often mark the bottom", as it absorbs all the necessary liquidity for institutions to buy in.
Be cautious when investing, I do not encourage you to long, nor do I discourage you from shorting, but whether long or short, remember to place your SL below support and above resistance.
This is a theoretical reference, not an investment call.
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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